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Strasburg Shines Against the Mediocre Mets

Roughing up the recently rehabilitated Steven Matz in his second start of the season, the Nationals’ lumber stayed hot and Washington increased its massive lead in the National League East with a 7-2 win in Game 2 of a four-game set with the misery Mets.

  • The Nationals are 7-2 SU and 6-3 on the runline in their last 9 games against the Mets.
  • The Mets have been outscored 15-5 through 2 games in this series.
  • The Nationals are 23-12 on the road and the Mets are 16-22 at home.

The Mets may sit 10.5 games back of the division lead in the NL East but at least they get to face Stephen Strasburg today. Actually, that’s not good either. Stras is 7-4 with a 2.64 ERA in 13 career starts against the Mets and made them look silly last year, striking out 30 New York batters in his three outings vs the Mets in which he went 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA.

He is, however, coming off a performance in which he gave up three long bombs in an 11-10 loss to the belligerent Braves and his team has lost two straight games when he’s taken the bump.

Stopping the Nats’ offense is something not many pitchers have been able to do this season but it’s something Mets’ starter Seth Lugo was able to do in his lone career start against the division rivals. In that outing, the then rookie Lugo spun seven innings of six-hit, one-run ball in a 5-1 Mets’ win.

Washington will (obviously) be the heavy road chalk but with the mighty Strasburg on the hill and an offense that’s averaged 7.4 runs per game this week, they’re more than playable.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The New York Mets were listed as 146 moneyline underdogs earlier in the day at BetOnline, while odds makers set the opening total line around 8.5 earlier at Bovada.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 6.0-3.4 result in favor of the Nationals. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New York Mets sport a record of 30-36 heading into this matchup, while the Washington Nationals sit at 41-26 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Washington injuries news.

The New York Mets sit at No. 17 in the current MLB power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Washington Nationals sit at No. 9 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features the New York Mets No. 9-ranked scoring average of 4.88 runs per game, against a Washington Nationals offense rated No. 2 and scoring 5.52 runs per game. The Mets have averaged 8.48 hits per game to date this season, less than the Nationals hitters have managed (9.7 per nine innings).

Comparing defensive stats, Washington owns the No. 13-rated road mark, allowing 4.63 runs per game on the highway. New York, on the other hand, rates No. 24 in scoring at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

M Scherzer blew away 10 New York batters in the Nationals's last start, leading them to a 7-2 win over New York on Friday at Citi Field.

Betting Trends
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
  • Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
  • NY Mets is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Washington at New York, Sunday, June 18th