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Why Have the Orioles Cashed 14 Straight UNDERs?

Baltimore has cashed 14 straight UNDERs now and for a very good offensive team, that trend seems pretty weird. OddsShark has broken down some numbers to see why the Orioles have been cashing so many UNDERs and to see just when this streak may come to end.

The first thing to look at when breaking down a streak like this is why it is happening. The answer is pretty simple – the Orioles are not scoring as many runs as they are accustomed to. For the season, the O’s have a runs scored per game average of 4.82. During their streak of UNDERs, however, they are averaging 3.00 runs per game and have not scored more than five in a game.

So, why is Baltimore’s scoring down? In the month of July, the Orioles are in the bottom five in runs scored and are hitting .240 as a team. They have not faced especially good pitching staffs outside that of the Indians’ stacked rotation yet the O’s bats have gone cold. Since the All-Star break, Adam Jones, Manny Machado, Chris Davis and Mark Trumbo have a combined .195 batting average – that’s pretty bad production from the top of your batting order.

Since all of those guys have a season batting average over .223, you have to think this is just a slump.

Despite these dismal offensive numbers, the O’s have a winning 9-5 record during the UNDER streak. In order for this to happen, there needs to be some very good pitching and defense happening. Since the all-star break, the Orioles have the eighth best team ERA (14th on the season) and have the sixth best fielding in the Majors.

Before the streak, the Indians had been cashing more OVERS than UNDERs with an O/U/P record of 44-37-4. Their record is now 44-51-4 and 38-46-4 when the total is set at eight or higher. In the long run, it has balanced out pretty well and you have to expect Baltimore’s hitters to figure things out eventually.

The Orioles have a series looming against the Toronto Blue Jays, who because of the offense they produced last year, have been getting big lines all season. If the O’s can keep up the great pitching and continue to get no production from the top of their lineup, this streak could continue well beyond the weekend.

Assess every game on an individual basis when betting totals but keep these trends in mind. I, however, am riding this streak until it ends and laughing all the way to the bank as I do it.

Head over to Bovada to check out their lines today.