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Truex Jr. opens as favorite in the AAA Texas 500

The leader in the standings for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series opens as the favorite this weekend at the AAA Texas 500. Martin Truex Jr. is the +225 chalk pick to take the checkered flag at Texas Motor Speedway.

Fresh off a win last week at Martinsville Speedway, Kyle Busch is valued at +350 at Bovada. He’s finished first in three of his last six races. The only knock on this Busch brother is that he’s never finished higher than third in this race, when he made the podium back in 2012.

Bettors usually like to look at recent winners in NASCAR races but they won’t find anything for last year’s winner, Carl Edwards, who retired this past off-season. Jimmie Johnson owned this track from 2012 to 2015, finishing first in four consecutive years, but hasn’t won a race since June 4 at Dover International Speedway. He opened at +1500 on Bovada. This is perhaps the best value on the board, as Johnson won on this track on April 9.

Fan favorite Dale Earnhardt Jr., while beloved by NASCAR fans across the world, is priced at +7500 and would be a stretch to finish at the top of the podium despite getting the checkered flag in our hearts.

Here’s a complete look at the odds for Sunday’s race:

ODDS FOR AAA TEXAS 500
  •  Martin Truex Jr. #78 +225
  •  Kyle Busch #18 +350
  •  Kyle Larson #42 +550
  •  Kevin Harvick #4 +650
  •  Chase Elliott #24 +800
  •  Brad Keselowski #2 +1100
  •  Denny Hamlin #11 +1200
  •  Jimmie Johnson #48 +1500
  •  Ryan Blaney #21 +1800
  •  Matt Kenseth #20 +2200
  •  Joey Logano #22 +2900
  •  Erik Jones #77 +3500
  •  Clint Bowyer #14 +5000
  •  Kurt Busch #41 +5500
  •  Jamie McMurray #1 +6600
  •  Dale Earnhardt Jr. #88 +7500
  •  Daniel Suarez #19 +7500
  •  Ryan Newman #31 +10000
  •  Austin Dillon #3 +12500
  •  Kasey Kahne #5 +12500
  •  Ricky Stenhouse Jr. #17 +15000
  •  Paul Menard #27 +22500
  •  Trevor Bayne #6 +30000
  •  A. J. Allmendinger #47 +40000
  •  Aric Almirola #43 +50000
  •  Ty Dillon #13 +50000
  •  Chris Buescher #37 +75000
  •  Danica Patrick #10 +75000
  •  David Ragan #38 +75000
  •  Michael McDowell #95 +150000
  •  David Starr #66 +200000
  •  Corey LaJoie #23 +250000
  •  Cole Whitt #72 +300000
  •  Landon Cassill #34 +300000
  •  Reed Sorenson #15 +300000
  •  Joey Gase #7 +300000
  •  Jeffrey Earnhardt #33 +400000
  •  Matt DiBenedetto #32 +400000
  •  Ray Black #51 +400000
  •  Gray Gaulding #83 +400000

Odds as of November 3 at Bovada

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