Quaker State400 odds have Kyle Busch as the favotire

Quaker State 400 Available At Walmart Odds: Kyle Busch Is The Early Favorite

Rain. Weather delays. Right and left turns. A new NASCAR course in a new setting. Chicago's Grant Park 220 was totally chaotic. In all the chaos, Shane Van Gisbergen and his TrackHouse Racing Chevy won. 

The Kiwi is the first driver to win his first-ever NASCAR race since Regan Smith in 2011. Bettors who took Van Gisbergen at +5000 are mighty pleased with themselves but don't bank on that happening again.

Quaker State 400 Odds

Odds to Win The Quaker State 400
DriverOdds
Kyle Busch+1000
Chase Elliott+1100
Ryan Blaney+1200
Joey Logano+1200
William Byron+1400
Denny Hamlin+1400
Brad Keselowski+1400
Ross Chastain+1600
Christopher Bell+1600
Kyle Larson+1800

Odds as of July 4

Why Is Kyle Busch The Favorite To Win The Quaker State 400?

Kyle Busch has won here before, but not since 2013. So why is he (barely) the favorite for this race?

Busch has won three times this season and is in a particularly strong run of form with six straight top-10 finishes. Over his 27 career races at the Atlanta Motor Speedway, Bush has two wins and eight top-five finishes.

That combination of success on this track and in recent races has oddsmakers confident he can eke out his fourth win in the Cup Series season. But look, I don't trust Bush to win this one. 

I have no data to back this up, it's more of a feeling. Every run has to come to an end at some point. I don't believe Busch wins this one. I've got my eye on someone else. Someone with better value.

Who Has Better Value For NASCAR's Quaker State 400?

The favorite to win this weekend is Kyle Busch, but here are two other names that present better value.

Chase Elliott

I'm surprised Elliott isn't the favorite here, he's not far off at +1100. But in my mind, he should be the clear favorite.

If we're deciding who to bet on based on recent form, it's hard to ignore Chase Elliott. In his 11 races this season, Elliot has finished in the top 10 seven times and finished on the podium three times. With 323 points in 11 races, Elliott is averaging the eighth best points per race in the NASCAR season.

Now, we should also consider the weather conditions. Rain is in the forecast for the Atlanta Motor Speedway over the next seven days. The track will very likely be wet. There's only one driver who's won more than once in rainy or wet conditions; that's, of course, Chase Elliott.

I've got my eye (and money) on Elliott to win this one.

Martin Truex Jr.

The current Cup Series points leader sits at +2500 to win the Quaker State 400. Truex has been excellent in Atlanta with an average finish of 8.8. Only Ryan Blaney (6.5) and Jimmie Johnson (7.0) are better. 

Look, I know that Truex hasn't done well on Superspeedways over his career and this one in Atlanta will technically race like a Superspeedway. But it's really hard to ignore the form he's in. Since April 23 - the last time he raced on a Superspeedway - Truex has finished in the top 5 five times over nine races. 

Most bettors will be fading him this weekend. That's why he's dropped down to +2500 on the oddsboard. I'm hoping to cash in on people betting against him.

Back to Top