Coca-Cola 600 Odds: Larson & Truex Are Co-Favorites

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Charlotte Motor Speedway for the longest race of the season, the Coca-Cola 600. Chase Elliott picked up his first win of the season last week at the Circuit of the Americas, becoming the 11th different winner through 14 races, and he can be found fourth on the Coca-Cola 600 oddsboard. Kyle Larson and Martin Truex Jr. are the co-favorites in Coca-Cola 600 odds.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released the Coca-Cola 600 odds with Larson and Truex sharing the shortest odds at +500. They are followed closely by Kyle Busch at +550, Chase Elliott at +600 and Denny Hamlin at +650 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

Coca-Cola 600 Odds: Charlotte Motor Speedway

Odds as of May 27 at Bovada

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Why Are Larson and Truex the Favorites in Coca-Cola 600 Odds at Charlotte Motor Speedway?

Truex has been a rocket ship recently at Charlotte Motor Speedway, with nine top-10 finishes over the last 10 races there, including seven top-five finishes and three wins. He has led at least 80 laps in six of the last 10 races at the track.

Conversely, it may come as a bit of a surprise to see Larson as the co-favorite based on his results at Charlotte. He has made 11 career starts there but has just one top-five finish, which came in 2016. In seven of those starts, he has finished outside the top 10.

Larson and Truex’s Stats in 2021

Truex has been a little bit of all-or-nothing as he has just five top-five finishes through 14 races, but three of those performances resulted in victories. He leads the Cup Series with those three wins and is the favorite in the NASCAR Cup Series championship odds.

Meanwhile, Larson has the most top-10 finishes and the second-most top-five finishes, including three top-five finishes on the four 1.5-mile tracks this season. Heading into the Coca-Cola 600, he has been the runner-up in three straight races.

NASCAR Predictions this week for the Coca-Cola 600: Charlotte Motor Speedway

Right now, the Hendrick Motorsports team is hard to fade, especially at these 1.5-mile tracks. A couple of weeks ago, Hendrick drivers swept the top four positions and last week they took the top two spots. Don’t fix what isn’t broken, and that’s where I’m headed for my picks this week.

Kyle Larson +500: Although Larson’s stats at Charlotte aren’t eye-popping, his success at 1.5-mile tracks this season is much more intriguing. He has finished fourth or better at three of the four 1.5-mile tracks, while having second-place finishes at a 1.3-mile track and a one-mile race as well. Lastly, three straight second-place finishes heading into this race have all signs pointing to another solid run for the No. 5 machine.

Chase Elliott +600: I’m looking at Larson’s teammate and last week’s winner, Chase Elliott, as well. The reigning Cup champion won the most recent running at Charlotte last May, after finishing second at the same track just four days earlier. He has led 10 or more laps in five of the last seven runnings and has finished fourth or better in four of the last five there. With his first win under his belt last week, we may see Chase go on a bit of a run here.

Alex Bowman +1600: This is a bit of a value pick, and perhaps a better option may be a play for Bowman to finish inside the top five at slightly lower odds. Bowman concludes my trio of Hendrick Motorsports drivers and he has never had a top-five finish at Charlotte. However, he led 164 laps in the first race at this track last year and followed that up by leading 51 in the race four days later – he finished outside of the top 10 in both those instances.

He has been competitive but struggled down the stretch. If he can clean up those mistakes, he could be at the front challenging for a win.