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Kyle Busch Favored Again to Win the Food City 500

Odds to win the Food City 500

Following the high-speed, 1.5-mile quad-oval of Texas Motor Speedway, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to the 0.5-mile short track of Bristol Motor Speedway. Just two weeks following another short track in Martinsville, tempers could be short this week and oddsmakers have Kyle Busch keeping his nose clean as a +260 favorite.

Bovada has Busch as the favorite at +260 followed by Kyle Larson at +700, Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano at +800, and Kevin Harvick and Ryan Blaney at +1200 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.

Standout Stats

  • Chevrolet has only won two of the last 11 races at Bristol Motor Speedway, while Ford and Toyota split the other nine runnings, with Toyota grabbing five checkered flags and Ford four.
  • The winner of this race has qualified on the pole in three of the last eight runnings.
  • The Busch brothers have won each of the last three races at Bristol with Kurt winning the August running last year and Kyle winning the previous two. Overall, the two have combined for 13 wins at this track.
  • Kurt Busch (+1600) has won six of his 36 career starts at Bristol, including four of his first seven. The Nevada native won the last running at this track last August but has finished outside the top 10 in 10 of the last 15 races at Bristol.
  • Kyle Busch (+260) has driven to victory lane seven times at Bristol in 27 career starts, including two of the last three. However, he has crashed in four of the last eight races overall there. He has led 100 or more laps in four of the last seven runnings at the 0.5-mile track.
  • I would stay away from Brad Keselowski (+800) even though he drove to victory lane at Martinsville two weeks ago. The Michigan native has finished outside the top 10 in six straight races at Bristol and has only led in one of those runnings for a total of 67 laps.
  • Chase Elliott (+1500) is a sleeper pick for this race. The Georgia native finished fourth in his first start there in 2016 and landed on the podium in the last running, including leading 112 laps. From a value standpoint he’s not a bad wager, finishing in the top five in two of his six starts at Bristol.

My Best Bet for the Food City 500

Kyle Busch (+260)

Not an exciting pick this week, but the Nevada native has won 25.9 percent of his 27 career starts at Bristol and has finished inside the top five in 37.0 percent of those appearances. Busch also has two wins already this season to go along with four stage wins. Lastly, he has led 100 or more laps at this track in four of the last seven runnings.

Here’s a look at the complete list of odds for the Food City 500:

Odds to win The Food City 500

Odds as of April 4 at Bovada

  • Kyle Busch +260
  • Kyle Larson +700
  • Brad Keselowski +800
  • Joey Logano +800
  • Kevin Harvick +1200
  • Ryan Blaney +1200
  • Chase Elliott +1500
  • Denny Hamlin +1500
  • Martin Truex Jr. +1500
  • Clint Bowyer +1600
  • Erik Jones +1600
  • Kurt Busch +1600
  • Aric Almirola +2000
  • Jimmie Johnson +2500
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +2500
  • Daniel Suarez +6500
  • Alex Bowman +6600
  • Austin Dillon +8500
  • Paul Menard +10000
  • Ryan Newman +10000
  • William Byron +10000
  • Darrell Wallace Jr. +20000
  • Matt DiBenedetto +20000
  • Chris Buescher +30000
  • Daniel Hemric +30000
  • Ryan Preece +50000
  • Bayley Currey +100000
  • Corey LaJoie +100000
  • David Ragan +100000
  • Gray Gaulding +100000
  • Joey Gase +100000
  • Landon Cassill +100000
  • Matt Tifft +100000
  • Michael McDowell +100000
  • Quin Houff +100000
  • Ross Chastain +100000
  • Ty Dillon +100000

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