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NASCAR: Busch, Truex Jr. Co-Favorites to Win 2019 Monster Energy Cup

NASCAR Odds to Win 2019 Monster Energy Cup Series

It all comes down to one final race to see who will be crowned this season’s Monster Energy NASCAR Cup champion. After 35 races, just four drivers remain in contention to win this year’s championship, with Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. sharing the top odds at +250, each vying for his second title.

Online sportsbook BetOnline has Busch and Truex Jr. as the co-faves at +250 followed by Denny Hamlin and Kevin Harvick at +275 each.

One Race, One Champion; Who Has The Best Value?

Last year, Homestead-Miami featured a wild race for the title with the Championship 4 drivers finishing in the top four positions, with Joey Logano ultimately winning. The year prior, the final four drivers finished within the top seven places, so one mistake could cost a driver in this race.

Martin Truex Jr. (+250) has been very strong in the season finale. He won the race in 2017 when he secured the NASCAR championship and he was the runner-up last year, falling short in his bid for consecutive titles. In his seven races at this track in a Toyota, he has finished on the podium three times and has an average finish position of ninth. Overall, in 14 starts, he has an average finish position of 12th.

Kyle Busch (+250) has won at this track just once in his career, in 2015, when he claimed his lone championship. He has finished seventh or better in six of the last seven races at Homestead-Miami but only landed on the podium twice over that span. Busch has an average finish position of 11.3 through his 14 career starts there.

Kevin Harvick (+275) last drove to victory lane at this track in 2014, which coincides with his one and only championship. If nothing else, the eldest of the Championship 4 has been consistent at Homestead-Miami, finishing on the podium in seven of the last 11 races with an average finish position of 4.3 over that span. He led the second-most laps last year with 58 but finished third.

Denny Hamlin (+275) is the only final four driver to have multiple wins at Homestead-Miami but doesn’t have a championship. Hamlin won at this track in 2009 and 2013, however, he hasn’t had a top-five finish since, with an average finish position of 9.4 over the last five runnings. That said, he qualified on the pole three times in the last four races in Miami and led 41 laps last year before finishing 12th.

Betting Pick: Kevin Harvick (+275)

I have to go with consistency here and Harvick has finished fourth or better in each of the last five races at this track, including winning in 2014. Recent history has shown that the champion tends to win at Homestead-Miami and the fact that Harvick should be in the mix nearing the checkered flag bodes well for a +275 pick.

Here’s a look at the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup championship odds:

Odds to Win the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup
DriverOdds
Kyle Busch +250
Martin Truex Jr.+250
Denny Hamlin+275
Kevin Harvick+275

Odds as of November 13 courtesy of BetOnline