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Ally 400 Odds: Larson Holds Shortest Odds at Nashville

Kyle Larson is the favorite in the Ally 400 odds at Nashville Superspeedway.

Kyle Larson has been perhaps the most dominant driver thus far in the NASCAR Cup Series, having won three straight races, including last week’s all-star race in Texas. The Cup Series now visits Nashville Superspeedway for the first time and it is Larson who is the betting favorite in Ally 400 odds.

Online sportsbook BetOnline Sportsbook has released the Ally 400 odds for Nashville Superspeedway with Larson set as the chalk at +260. He is followed closely by Chase Elliott at +650, Martin Truex Jr. at +700, Denny Hamlin at +800 and Kyle Busch at +800 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

Ally 400 Odds: Nashville Superspeedway

Ally 400 Odds
DriverOdds
Kyle Larson+260
Chase Elliott+650
Martin Truex Jr.+700
Denny Hamlin+800
Kyle Busch+800
William Byron+1100
Brad Keselowski+1200
Joey Logano+1200
Kevin Harvick+1200
Ryan Blaney+1200
Alex Bowman+1400
Christopher Bell+3300
Austin Dillon+4000
Tyler Reddick+4000
Kurt Busch+5000
Matt DiBenedetto+8000
Aric Almirola+12500
Chris Buescher+12500
Ross Chastain+12500
Daniel Suarez+15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+15000
Cole Custer+20000
Erik Jones+20000
Michael McDowell+20000
Ryan Newman+20000
Bubba Wallace+25000
Chase Briscoe+25000
Ryan Preece+40000
Anthony Alfredo+80000
Corey LaJoie+80000
Josh Bilicki+150000
BJ McLeod+200000
Chad Finchum+200000
David Starr+200000
Garreth Smithley+200000
JJ Yeley+200000
Joey Gase+200000
Justin Haley+200000
Quin Houff+200000

Odds as of June 17 at BetOnline Sportsbook

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Why is Larson the Favorite in the Ally 400 Odds at Nashville Superspeedway?

Typically I can write about a driver’s success at a given racetrack and why their odds are such based on previous performances. However, this is the debut race at Nashville Superspeedway for the NASCAR Cup Series. NASCAR Xfinity and the truck series frequented this track from 2001 to 2011 but that was prior to Larson’s debut as a professional driver.

Larson’s Stats in 2021

While we can’t pin down why Larson is the favorite specifically at Nashville Superspeedway, we can look at how dominant he has been this season. As mentioned off the top, Larson has three straight victories heading into this race and has climbed up to be the favorite in NASCAR Cup championship odds.

He has led the most laps and has the most stage wins, the second-most top-five finishes and the second-most top-10 finishes. Not only has Larson won three in a row but the three races prior to this streak were all runner-up performances so he has finished first or second in each of the last six races. Larson and his Hendrick Motorsports teammates have won five of the eight races that were on 0.75-1.5-mile tracks.

NASCAR Predictions this week for the Ally 400: Nashville Superspeedway

Again, it proves to be a difficult task to choose a winner at a track for which there is no previous data. Furthermore, qualifying is taking place earlier in the day on Sunday with the race taking place in the afternoon. However, I feel like a bit of a broken record over the past few weeks that hitching your wagon to Hendrick Motorsports cars seems to be a wise decision.

Kyle Larson +260: What’s left to say about Larson and his current hot streak? He’s finished first or second in each of the last six races, including three straight victories. At 1.5-mile tracks or races of similar length, Larson has been flirting with the front of the pack and we should expect nothing different this weekend.

Denny Hamlin +800: In the earlier stages of the season, I remarked that Hamlin was nearly an autobet every week as he had eight top-five finishes through the first nine races. He has had just one such finish through the last eight. I think Hamlin can find some speed again as he still remains the points leader and has the most top-10 finishes and the second-most laps led.

William Byron +1100: In the four 1.5-mile tracks (Nashville is 1.3 miles, so close enough), Byron has four top-10 finishes, including a win and a fourth-place finish. On the season, he is tied with Hamlin for the most top-10 finishes and if his teammate Larson has some speed, no doubt Byron will as well. Getting the value of over 10:1 for a guy that is consistently toward the front of the field, I like Byron as a bit of a flyer.