Ally 400 Odds: Larson Holds Shortest Odds at Nashville

Kyle Larson has been perhaps the most dominant driver thus far in the NASCAR Cup Series, having won three straight races, including last week’s all-star race in Texas. The Cup Series now visits Nashville Superspeedway for the first time and it is Larson who is the betting favorite in Ally 400 odds.

Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released the Ally 400 odds for Nashville Superspeedway with Larson set as the chalk at +260. He is followed closely by Chase Elliott at +650, Martin Truex Jr. at +700, Denny Hamlin at +800 and Kyle Busch at +800 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

Ally 400 Odds: Nashville Superspeedway

Odds as of June 17 at Sportsbook

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Why is Larson the Favorite in the Ally 400 Odds at Nashville Superspeedway?

Typically I can write about a driver’s success at a given racetrack and why their odds are such based on previous performances. However, this is the debut race at Nashville Superspeedway for the NASCAR Cup Series. NASCAR Xfinity and the truck series frequented this track from 2001 to 2011 but that was prior to Larson’s debut as a professional driver.

Larson’s Stats in 2021

While we can’t pin down why Larson is the favorite specifically at Nashville Superspeedway, we can look at how dominant he has been this season. As mentioned off the top, Larson has three straight victories heading into this race and has climbed up to be the favorite in NASCAR Cup championship odds.

He has led the most laps and has the most stage wins, the second-most top-five finishes and the second-most top-10 finishes. Not only has Larson won three in a row but the three races prior to this streak were all runner-up performances so he has finished first or second in each of the last six races. Larson and his Hendrick Motorsports teammates have won five of the eight races that were on 0.75-1.5-mile tracks.

NASCAR Predictions this week for the Ally 400: Nashville Superspeedway

Again, it proves to be a difficult task to choose a Sportsbook at a track for which there is no previous data. Furthermore, qualifying is taking place earlier in the day on Sunday with the race taking place in the afternoon. However, I feel like a bit of a broken record over the past few weeks that hitching your wagon to Hendrick Motorsports cars seems to be a wise decision.

Kyle Larson +260: What’s left to say about Larson and his current hot streak? He’s finished first or second in each of the last six races, including three straight victories. At 1.5-mile tracks or races of similar length, Larson has been flirting with the front of the pack and we should expect nothing different this weekend.

Denny Hamlin +800: In the earlier stages of the season, I remarked that Hamlin was nearly an autobet every week as he had eight top-five finishes through the first nine races. He has had just one such finish through the last eight. I think Hamlin can find some speed again as he still remains the points leader and has the most top-10 finishes and the second-most laps led.

William Byron +1100: In the four 1.5-mile tracks (Nashville is 1.3 miles, so close enough), Byron has four top-10 finishes, including a win and a fourth-place finish. On the season, he is tied with Hamlin for the most top-10 finishes and if his teammate Larson has some speed, no doubt Byron will as well. Getting the value of over 10:1 for a guy that is consistently toward the front of the field, I like Byron as a bit of a flyer.