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Odds to win the 1000Bulbs.com 500: Brad Keselowski tops the rest of the field

Odds to win the 1000Bulbs.com 500

The second race in the Round of 12 has the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series drivers testing their skills at Talladega for the 1000Bulbs.com 500. Brad Keselowski has won three of the last eight races at the superspeedway and has the best odds at +700 to grab the checkered flag this weekend.

BetOnline has Keselowski at +700 followed by Chase Elliott at +750, Joey Logano at +800, Kyle Busch at +1000, and Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Clint Bowyer and Kevin Harvick all at +1200 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.

Keselowski looks to continue strong performances at Talladega

Brad Keselowski (+700) has more wins at Talladega than he has at any other track, driving to victory lane five times over his 19 career starts there. Additionally, he has won three of the last eight races at the superspeedway, including last year’s fall race. The 34-year-old led 21 laps in the spring race earlier this year, but crashed and finished in 33rd place.

Keselowski is in seventh place in the driver standings with a 21-point lead over Aric Almirola, who is in the first elimination spot ahead of the Round of 8. Ford cars have carried the checkered flag at Talladega in each of the last six races, including two wins by Keselowski.

Can Logano earn the season sweep?

When the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series raced at Talladega in April, it was Joey Logano (+800) leading 70 laps en route to grabbing the checkered flag. That victory was Logano’s third at the superspeedway, each win coming over the last six runnings at this track. Over that span, the 28-year-old crashed twice but in the races that he finished, he won three times and finished fourth in the other. Like Keselowski, the Connecticut native is also driving a Ford which, as mentioned before, has won each of the last six races at Talladega.

Logano has yet to drive to victory lane in the playoffs thus far but has a 31-point lead over the bubble spot to advance to the Round of 8. Jeff Gordon was the last driver to complete the season sweep at the superspeedway back in 2007, but I think Logano can accomplish the feat this year.

Risky Bet: Kevin Harvick

This season, Kevin Harvick (+1200) has racked up seven wins, tied for the most with Kyle Busch, but a wager on him at Talladega is a risky bet. There are trends that point positively for the California native, like the fact that he drives a Ford and he had the pole in the spring race this year.

However, the 42-year-old only has one victory at Talladega over 35 career starts and that victory came in 2010. Harvick also hasn’t finished on the podium at the superspeedway since the fall race eight years ago, and his best finish was fourth place in the spring race this year. Although there seems to be great value to get Harvick at +1200, this isn’t the race to put a wager on him.

Here’s a look at the odds for the full field for the 1000Bulbs.com 500:

Odds to win The 1000Bulbs.com 500
  • Brad Keselowski +700
  • Chase Elliott +750
  • Joey Logano +800
  • Kyle Busch +1000
  • Denny Hamlin +1200
  • Ryan Blaney +1200
  • Clint Bowyer +1200
  • Kevin Harvick +1200
  • Aric Almirola +1400
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +1400
  • Kurt Busch +1400
  • Alex Bowman +2000
  • Martin Truex Jr. +2200
  • Erik Jones +2500
  • Jimmie Johnson +2500
  • Kyle Larson +2800
  • Paul Menard +3300
  • Daniel Suarez +4000
  • Austin Dillon +4000
  • Jamie McMurray +5000
  • William Byron +5000
  • Ryan Newman +5000
  • David Ragan +5000
  • Bubba Wallace +5000
  • Trevor Bayne +5000
  • Chris Buescher +6600
  • Ty Dillon +7500
  • AJ Allmendinger +7500
  • Regan Smith +7500
  • Michael McDowell +10000
  • Ross Chastain +12500
  • Matt DiBenedetto +12500
  • Corey LaJoie +12500
  • Jeffrey Earnhardt +12500
  • JJ Yeley +15000
Odds as of October 11 at BetOnline