The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season is coming to a close as it visits Homestead-Miami Speedway for the Ford EcoBoost 400. The championship is on the line between Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano and it is Harvick at +250 who is favored to grab the checkered flag and title this weekend.
Sportsbook has Harvick in the pole position on the oddsboard at +250 followed by Kyle Busch at +300, Kyle Larson at +325, Martin Truex Jr. at +400 and Joey Logano at +900 to round out the top five.
Harvick eyes second career championship
Kevin Harvick has had recent success at Homestead-Miami Speedway, and a good performance this weekend could lock up his second Monster Energy NASCAR Cup and first since 2014. The California native is trending downward in his last four runnings in the season finale, however, after driving to victory lane in 2014 en route to a championship. He has moved back one spot each year since, finishing second in 2015, third in 2016 and fourth last year, with 2017 being the first year since 2012 that he hadn’t led a lap there. Overall, the 42-year-old has had seven podium finishes at Homestead-Miami Speedway and nine top-five finishes in his 17 career starts.
History not on Truex’s side
Martin Truex Jr. is looking to become the first driver to win consecutive championships since Jimmie Johnson won five straight titles from 2006 to 2010, and to win the third straight championship for Toyota. The New Jersey native led the second-most laps in the Ford EcoBoost 400 last year en route to grabbing the checkered flag and his first-ever crown. A win may be necessary to secure the 2018 championship with a stout lineup, which doesn’t bode well for the 38-year-old. There hasn’t been a back-to-back Sportsbook at Homestead-Miami Speedway since Greg Biffle won three in a row from 2004 to 2006 and for that reason, I would stay away from Truex at +400.
Can Busch win back-to-back races?
Kyle Busch secured his spot in the finale with a victory last week at Phoenix and now looks to close out the season with two straight wins for the first time since Kevin Harvick did so in 2014 – winning a title in the process. The Nevada native hasn’t found tremendous success at Homestead-Miami Speedway, earning just three top-five finishes through his 13 career starts there and driving to victory lane just once – back in 2015, when he won his championship. Last year, Busch led 43 laps en route to a second-place finish in the race and in the standings. He has earned the nickname “Rowdy” for a reason and I expect him to be up on the wheel, chomping at the bit to grab his second title and I think he provides the best value at +300.
Here’s a look at the odds for the full field for the Ford EcoBoost 400: