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Odds to Win TicketGuardian 500: Harvick in Pole Position on the Oddsboard

Odds to win the TicketGuardian 500

We are three races into the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season and there have been three different winners, with reigning champion Joey Logano notching his first victory of the year last week at Las Vegas. Oddsmakers think that trend will continue this week in Phoenix at ISM Raceway with a fourth different winner in the fourth race as they have made Kevin Harvick the +275 favorite to capture his first checkered flag of the 2019 season.

Bovada has Harvick as the favorite at +275 followed by Kyle Busch at +375, Brad Keselowski at +750, Logano at +850 and Chase Elliott and Martin Truex Jr. at +1100 to round out the top of the oddsboard.

Standout Stats

  • There hasn’t been a back-to-back winner at ISM Raceway since Kevin Harvick won four in a row between 2013 and 2015.
  • The winner at this track has qualified outside of the top five in five of the last six races with an average starting position of 11.17 over that span.
  • Kevin Harvick holds the record for most wins at ISM Raceway with nine, winning 28.1 percent of his 32 starts at this track and finishing in the top five in half of those races.
  • Joey Logano has finished outside of the top 10 in five of the last six runnings in Phoenix.
  • Kyle Busch has finished in the top five in six of the last seven races at ISM Raceway, including winning the race last November. Additionally, he has finished inside the top 10 in 70.4 percent of his 27 career starts in Phoenix.
  • Chase Elliott has finished on the podium in two of the last three races in Phoenix, but Chevrolet has only one victory out of the last five runnings at ISM Raceway.

My Best Bet for the TicketGuardian 500

Kevin Harvick +275

Going with the favorite this week. The California native has finished in the top five in 50 percent of his 32 career runnings at ISM Raceway so he’s at least going to be in the mix and you then have a 20 percent chance of winning it all. Harvick has the record for most career wins with nine and won the March race at Phoenix nearly one year ago to the day.

Here’s a look at the full list of odds for the TicketGuardian 500:

Odds to win The TicketGuardian 500

Odds as of March 7 at Bovada

  • Kevin Harvick +275
  • Kyle Busch +375
  • Brad Keselowski +750
  • Joey Logano +850
  • Chase Elliott +1100
  • Martin Truex Jr. +1100
  • Denny Hamlin +1600
  • Kyle Larson +1800
  • Aric Almirola +2200
  • Clint Bowyer +2500
  • Erik Jones +2500
  • Kurt Busch +3000
  • Ryan Blaney +3300
  • Quin Houff +5000
  • Alex Bowman +5500
  • Austin Dillon +5500 
  • Jimmie Johnson +5500
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +5500
  • Daniel Suarez +6600
  • Ross Chastain +6600
  • Daniel Hemric +10000
  • Paul Menard +10000
  • Ryan Newman +10000
  • William Byron +10000
  • Cody Ware +20000
  • Corey LaJoie +20000
  • Landon Cassill +20000
  • Matt Tift +20000
  • Chris Buescher +22500
  • Matt DiBenedetto +22500
  • Ryan Preece +22500
  • Bayley Currey +25000
  • Darrell Wallace Jr. 25000
  • David Ragan +25000
  • Michael McDowell +25000
  • Ty Dillon +25000

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