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NASCAR Odds: Truex Jr. tops oddsboard at Martinsville

Martin Truex Jr. is the favorite in the NASCAR odds for Martinsville Speedway

The NASCAR Cup Series enjoyed a week off following a muddy Bristol Motor Speedway dirt race that saw Joey Logano become the seventh different driver to win this season. The Cup Series has another short track on tap this weekend as the drivers look to conquer Martinsville Speedway in the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500. Martin Truex Jr. is the favorite heading into the weekend.

Online sportsbook BetOnline has NASCAR odds for the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 with Truex at +500, followed by Chase Elliott at +600, Brad Keselowski at +650, Denny Hamlin at +650 and Ryan Blaney at +700 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

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NASCAR Odds: Martinsville Speedway - Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500

NASCAR Odds to Win the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500
Martin Truex Jr.+500
Chase Elliott+600
Brad Keselowski+650
Denny Hamlin+650
Ryan Blaney+700
Joey Logano+750
Kyle Busch+1000
Kyle Larson+1000
Kevin Harvick+1200
William Byron+1800
Alex Bowman+2000
Christopher Bell+2800
Kurt Busch+2800
Aric Almirola+6600
Matt DiBenedetto+6600
Tyler Reddick+6600
Austin Dillon+8000
Darrell Wallace Jr.+8000
Ryan Newman+8000
Chase Briscoe+10000
Cole Custer+10000
Daniel Suarez+10000
Erik Jones+10000
Chris Buescher+12500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+15000
Ross Chastain+15000
Michael McDowell+20000
Ryan Preece+20000
Anthony Alfredo+50000
Corey Lajoie+50000
Cody Ware+100000
Josh Bilicki+100000
Quin Houff+100000

Odds as of April 7 at BetOnline

Why is Truex the favorite in NASCAR odds at Martinsville Speedway?

To start, Truex has won two of the last three runnings at Martinsville. Furthermore, since opening his career with eight finishes outside of the top 10 at this track, he has secured a top-10 finish in 13 of the last 22.

More recently, Truex has five top-five finishes over the last seven Martinsville races, with four podium finishes. Quite simply, the 2017 Cup Series champion knows how to get around the paperclip in a hurry.

Truex’s stats in 2021

As mentioned off the top, there have been seven different winners through seven races in the NASCAR Cup Series. One of those victors was Martin Truex Jr. at Phoenix Raceway one month ago. The No. 19 car has led the third-most laps this season but has just one other top-five finish outside of the win.

A little bit of a boom-or-bust in the early stages of the year, he remains third in the Cup Series standings and fourth in the Cup championship odds.

NASCAR Predictions this week for the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500

After a difficult capping of the dirt track race at Bristol, we have much more data for Martinsville Speedway and, as such, more confidence in our picks for this weekend's race. Normally, I provide two of my best bets and then a sleeper pick, but this week I have three best bets in place of a sleeper.

Brad Keselowski +650: If you want to see consistency at Martinsville Speedway, look no further than Brad Keselowski. He has 16 top-10 finishes in his 22 career starts (72.7 percent), including each of the last 10 runnings there. Additionally, he has finished inside the top five in nine of the last 10 runnings, with five podium finishes and two wins. Half of Keselowski’s 22 career starts have ended with him in the top five – can’t fade that.

Denny Hamlin +650: In a similar vein, Hamlin has been incredibly consistent this season but not as much at Martinsville through his career. Denny hasn’t earned a win this year but has six top-five finishes in seven races and is first in the Cup Series standings.

Hamlin had great success at Martinsville early in his career, having 10 top-10 finishes in 11 races with four wins. More recently, though, he has just five top-10 finishes over the last nine runnings at the paperclip. With his consistency this season, perhaps he finds that early-career luck he had.

Ryan Blaney +700: Blaney picked up a victory at Atlanta Motor Speedway three weeks ago and has been trending upward since he came out of the gate slowly. Through the first three races, he finished outside the top 10 in each of them, but he has been within the top 10 in the last four races, including two top-five finishes. 

He has four straight top-five finishes at Martinsville and was the runner-up in both races last year. He has also led at least 30 laps in three of the last six runnings at the paperclip and I like his odds of 7:1 to finally break through and get his first win there.