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Toyota Owners 400 Odds: Truex Jr. Favored in NASCAR’s Richmond Race

Martin Truex Jr. is the favorite in the Toyota Owners 400 odds for the Richmond spring race.

The NASCAR Cup Series wraps up its three-race stint on short tracks at Richmond Raceway this week. With Martin Truex Jr. driving to victory lane last week at Martinsville Speedway, he became the first two-time winner of the 2021 Cup Series season and is favored to win again in the Toyota Owners 400 odds for the Richmond spring race on Sunday.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released the Toyota Owners 400 betting odds with Truex listed at +400, followed by Denny Hamlin at +550, Brad Keselowski at +700, Kyle Larson at +750 and Kyle Busch at +800 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

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Toyota Owners 400 Odds: Richmond Spring Race

Toyota Owners 400 Odds: Richmond Raceway
Martin Truex Jr.+400
Denny Hamlin+550
Brad Keselowski+700
Kyle Larson +750
Kyle Busch+800
Joey Logano+900
Chase Elliott+900
Kevin Harvick+1100
Ryan Blaney+1800
Christopher Bell+2000
William Byron+2500
Alex Bowman+3300
Kurt Busch+3500
Austin Dillon+4000
Tyler Reddick+6600
Aric Almirola+8000
Matt DiBenedetto+8000
Darrell Wallace Jr.+10000
Ryan Newman+10000
Cole Custer+12500
Corey LaJoie+15000
Daniel Suarez+15000
Erik Jones+15000
Austin Cindric+20000
Chase Briscoe+20000
Chris Buescher+20000
Michael McDowell+20000
Ross Chastain+25000
Ryan Preece+35000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+100000
Anthony Alfredo+100000
BJ McLeod+150000
Cody Ware+150000
Garrett Smithley+150000
James Davison+150000
Josh Bilicki+150000
Justin Haley+150000
Quin Houff+150000

Odds as of April 18 at Bovada

Why is Truex the Favorite in the Toyota Owners 400 Odds at Richmond?

It’s only fitting that seven of the last 10 winners of the Toyota Owners 400 have been in Toyota cars. Included among those victors is Martin Truex Jr., who captured the Richmond spring and fall races in 2019.

He has also landed on the podium in the last four runnings at this track and has led at least 100 laps in six of the last eight. He was the runner-up in last year’s race, though he didn’t lead a lap.

Truex’s stats in 2021

As mentioned off the top, Truex is the lone driver to pick up more than one win thus far on the season. The 2017 Cup Series champion stumbled out of the gate, finishing outside the top 10 in the first two races and again at the Bristol Motor Speedway dirt race. However, he has been toward the front in the other five races, with three podium finishes, including the two wins.

Truex has been a little bit all-or-nothing in the early stages of this season, but he’s been more all than nothing. As such, he sits second in the Cup Series standings and in the NASCAR Cup odds.

NASCAR Predictions this week for the Toyota Owners 400

This NASCAR season is interesting with so many competitive drivers compared to past seasons when there would be two or three each week who had a legitimate chance of winning. As a result, the value is more spread out but it’s harder to find deep long shots as the top five or so drivers are providing better value.

So without further ado, here are my three NASCAR predictions this week for the Toyota Owners 400 in the Richmond spring race.

Denny Hamlin +550: Spoiler alert, I will be betting on Denny Hamlin to win and finish top three almost every race this season. Although the current points leader has yet to pick up a win, he has finished inside the top five in seven of the eight races this year and has four third-place finishes. It’s only a matter of time and at Richmond Raceway, Hamlin has three career wins and has finished sixth or better in eight of the last 10 races.

Kyle Larson +750: Another driver who has been very consistent, Kyle Larson and the No. 5 machine have landed inside the top five in four of the eight races this season, second-most behind Hamlin. Larson won at Las Vegas Motor Speedway and was the runner-up at Atlanta for his two podium finishes. At Richmond, he has finished seventh or better in five of his last seven runnings, including a win in the Richmond fall race in 2017.

Kyle Busch +800: I said to myself a couple of weeks ago that I would not be betting on Busch any more this season until he showed me something, yet here I am. It’s hard to pass up on him when 60 percent of his 30 career starts at Richmond have seen him finish inside the top five. Additionally, he has six wins there and has led at least one lap in nine of the last 10 races.

The two-time champion had some signs of life last week at Martinsville before getting into some accidents. I’m uneasy about this one but 9:1 for Busch in the Toyota Owners 400 odds is a must-bet for me.