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2016-17 Golden State Warriors Championship Betting Props

The Golden State Warriors rocked the NBA when they inked Kevin Durant to a two-year deal when most expected the superstar to return to the Thunder. Sportsbooks also felt the shockwaves from the signing and have reacted by posting some interesting NBA futures lines.

Before they got KD-trey, the Warriors were +200 to win the 2017 NBA Championship; they are now -145 at BetOnline – that’s crazy. What’s more crazy? The field has been tagged with a +115 line to win in 2017 – absolutely unheard of.

So, as minus money favorites to win the Larry O'Brien next year, is Golden State guaranteed to win? Absolutely not. OddsShark has looked at some trends and numbers to outline the potential value in the field.

Health Over Wealth

A freak injury is one of the quickest ways a title favorite can be derailed, just look at what happened to the Cavs in 2015 when Love and Irving went down in the playoffs. When you consider the injury history of Kevin Durant and Steph Curry it makes -145 sound like a bit of a long shot.

Curry’s ankle problems have been well documented and he missed 56 games in 2012 after having his right ankle surgically repaired. He also sustained a knee injury during the playoffs this year that kept him out for four games. The Chef was clearly not the same after the injury and was pretty unspectacular in the Finals against the Cavs.

Durant has sustained a number of lower-body injuries over the last couple of years and has missed a combined 65 games since the 2014-15 season. The worst of such injuries was a broken right foot that has given Kevin problems since returning from the injury.

Early Struggles of Super Teams

When you assemble a team full of superstars like the Warriors have, there will always be an adjustment period. The degree of the learning curve has varied over the years but the most relevant example in recent years is when D-Wade brought his buddy LeBron’s talents to South Beach.

The big three of James, Wade and Bosh struggled out of the gate and were beaten by the Mavs in six games in the 2011 Finals but did, however, go on to win the Finals the next two seasons.

The Warriors have one extra superstar in either Draymond Green or Klay Thompson and it can be argued that they have a far better supporting cast than the 2011 Heat.

The Cold War: NBA edition

It seems as though, almost instantly, the NBA – and everyone else for that matter – have turned on the once lovable Warriors. Teams like the defending champion Cavaliers are now clambering to add pieces in what feels like a nuclear arms race and it appears Cleveland will pry LeBron’s old buddy Dwayne Wade from the Heat.

Imagine the same Cavaliers team from last year, but with D-Wade off the bench instead of Iman Shumpert – I think they might win a game or two.

2017 NBA Championship Odds
Golden State Warriors-145
Cleveland Cavaliers+350
The Field+115

Odds as of July 5 at BetOnline