Kyle Lowry Toronto Raptors

NBA Playoffs Starting to Trend OVER

If you've been paying attention to the NBA playoffs, you already know how hot of a bet the UNDER was throughout the majority of the first two rounds. But since last week things have taken a turn, and the OVER is starting to become the sharp play.

As of May 10, the OVER/UNDER was 20-39-2. Since then, however, all five games have gone above the closing total, bringing it to 25-39-2. The total for Game 1 between the Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder opened at 232 at the Sportsbook Las Vegas SuperBook - the highest number in NBA playoff history.

Considering nearly every edition of the NBA postseason in recent memory has concluded with almost the same amount of OVERs as UNDERs, this does not come as much of a surprise. Teams have started to get into an offensive groove, and the sudden boon of scoring has all but ended the abundance of low-scoring games. Sportsbooks have obviously taken note about the UNDER trend, and lower than normal totals have started to become more prevalent.

Take a look at how the last five games have played out for totals bettors.

Death of the UNDER trend? OVERs starting to dominate NBA playoffs
Date Away team Home team Away score Home score Closing total Differential
May 15 Miami Toronto 89 116 188 +17
May 13 Toronto Miami 91 103 188 +6
May 12 San Antonio Oklahoma City 99 113 197.5 +14.5
May 11 Portland Golden State 121 125 217.5 +28.5
May 11 Miami Toronto 91 99 189 +1

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The story of the NBA playoffs, at least at the betting window, continues to be a red-hot UNDER trend. If you haven't been paying attention, listen up.

Heading into Wednesday's action, the UNDER is a sizzling 39-20-2 through the first 61 postseason contests. The total for Heat-Raptors opened at 187, while the OVER/UNDER for Trail Blazers-Warriors was initially set at 215 but has been slowly rising throughout the day.

A major drop off in scoring across the board has been the biggest reason for the trend. Low-scoring affairs have become the norm in this year's playoffs, and sports books have slowly been lowering the OVER/UNDER as each series has gone along.

Here's an updated look at each game that's gone below the closing total.

UNDERs galore: low-scoring games of the 2016 NBA postseason
Date Away team Home team Away score Home score Closing total Differential
May 10 Oklahoma City San Antonio 95 91 199 -13
May 9 Toronto Miami 87 94 194 -13
May 8 Cleveland Atlanta 100 99 203 -4
May 6 San Antonio Oklahoma City 100 96 200 -4
May 5 Miami Toronto 92 96 190 -2
May 3 Portland Golden State 99 110 212 -3
May 2 Atlanta Cleveland 93 104 199.5 -2.5
May 2 Oklahoma City San Antonio 98 97 199.5 -4.5
May 1 Indiana Toronto 84 89 189.5 -16.5
May 1 Charlotte Miami 73 106 190.5 -11.5
April 29 Miami Charlotte 97 90 192 -5
April 29 Toronto Indiana 83 101 192.5 -8.5
April 28 Atlanta Boston 104 92 198 -2
April 27 Houston Golden State 81 114 212.5 -17.5
April 27 Charlotte Miami 90 88 195.5 -17.5
April 26 Boston Atlanta 83 110 198 -5
April 25 L.A. Clippers Portland 84 98 205 -20.5
April 25 Miami Charlotte 85 98 194.5 -1.5
April 24 Atlanta Boston 95 104 203 -4
April 24 Golden State Houston 121 94 217.5 -2.5
April 23 L.A. Clippers Portland 88 96 208.5 -24.5
April 23 Miami Charlotte 80 96 197.5 -21.5
April 23 Toronto Indiana 83 100 193 -10
April 22 San Antonio Memphis 96 87 184 -1
April 21 Cleveland Detroit 101 91 200.5 -8.5
April 21 Golden State Houston 96 97 215.5 -22.5
April 21 Toronto Indiana 101 85 194.5 -8.5
April 20 Portland L.A. Clippers 81 102 210.5 -27.5
April 20 Detroit Cleveland 90 107 202 -5
April 19 Memphis San Antonio 68 94 186 -24
April 19 Boston Atlanta 72 89 205.5 -44.5
April 18 Dallas Oklahoma City 85 84 203 -34
April 18 Indiana Toronto 87 98 210.5 -0.5
April 17 Portland L.A. Clippers 95 115 210.5 -0.5
April 17 Memphis San Antonio 74 106 188.5 -8.5
April 16 Dallas Oklahoma City 70 108 206 -28
April 16 Boston Atlanta 101 102 206 -3
April 16 Houston Golden State 78 104 225 -43
April 16 Indiana Toronto 100 90 194.5 -4.5