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NBA Free-Agency Props

UPDATE: As of early July 1, Blake Griffin had re-signed with the Los Angeles Clippers.

Say whatever you want about the NBA, but even the biggest hoop haters will admit there’s never a dull moment in the Association. For many, the continuous circus that is the offseason has become more exciting than the product on the court.

In the wake of the stacked Golden State Warriors hoisting the Larry O’Brien Trophy for the second time in three seasons and the conclusion of the NBA draft, the annual free-agent free-for-all is set to begin on July 1. When it comes to betting props, Bovada is offering a few specials for the occasion.

The shop is offering odds on where Blake Griffin, Kyle Lowry, Paul Millsap and Serge Ibaka will land. The Clippers are the -125 favorite to retain the services of Griffin, while the Miami Heat (+250), Boston Celtics (+400) and Oklahoma City Thunder (+500) are also in the mix. With Chris Paul being shipped out of town to Houston, I’m surprised to see the Clippers in minus-money here. While they can offer him the most, a change of scenery could do Griffin wonders instead of rejoining the suddenly rudderless Clippers.

As for Lowry, I’m expecting him to re-sign with the Raptors. Since joining the franchise in 2012, the point guard has undergone a career renaissance north of the border and is the undisputed face of the franchise. The Dinos are in a state of flux after once again falling to the LeBron James-led Cleveland Cavaliers in the postseason, but a reunion between Lowry and the Raptors makes all the sense in the world.

If I was going to pick another option, however, a wager on him signing with the new-look Minnesota Timberwolves at +225 looks appealing. A starting lineup of Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Andrew Wiggins and Karl-Anthony Towns is terrifying and Minny has become an intriguing free-agent destination seemingly overnight.

At the age of 32, Millsap will be seeking his last big payday before he enters the twilight of his career and is likely to go to whichever team offers him the most cash. The Nuggets are a bubble team in the Western Conference but have proven they’re not afraid to break out the checkbook to chase free agents, while the Phoenix Suns have a plethora of young talent and tons of cap space to make a splash.

Ibaka’s odds shifted from -115 to -135 from Thursday to Friday and I’m expecting that climb to continue as bettors hammer the Raptors. Toronto team president Masai Ujiri, a fellow native of Africa, is good friends with Ibaka and engineered a trade with the Orlando Magic prior to the trade deadline to acquire him with the hopes of re-signing him in the summer.

The Raps have been lacking a quality power forward since Chris Bosh left for the Miami Heat in 2010 and Ibaka is not as highly sought-after as he used to be. I don’t think he’s going to be leaving Canada any time soon.

Which team will sign Blake Griffin?
  • L.A. Clippers -125
  • Miami Heat +250
  • Boston Celtics +400
  • Oklahoma City Thunder +500
Which team will sign Kyle Lowry?
  • Toronto Raptors -115
  • Minnesota Timberwolves +225
  • San Antonio Spurs +333
  • Chicago Bulls +650
Which team will sign Paul Millsap?
  • Denver Nuggets -140
  • Phoenix Suns +300
  • Atlanta Hawks +375
  • Sacramento Kings +550
Which team will sign Serge Ibaka?
  • Toronto Raptors -135
  • Miami Heat +215
  • Atlanta Hawks +215