As the basketball season continues, I've got NBA trends of the day to keep you on the edge of your seat. Betting on pro ball is hard without some research, so I've compiled the numbers for you.
Today's NBA player prop trends will focus on bets with favorable odds, or sportsbooks that offer a prop at a beatable price.
NBA Best Player Prop Trends Today
- The Dallas Mavericks are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on the road - Lakers -7.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
- LeBron James has gone OVER 2.5 three pointers in 5 of his last 6 games (3.7 three pointers/game average) - (+116 at FanDuel)
- Luka Doncic has gone UNDER 29.5 points in 6 of his last 7 games at home (21.1 points/game average). (-114 at FanDuel)
- The Sacramento Kings are 3-10-1 (21.4%) ATS in their last 14 games - Hornets +11.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
- DeMar DeRozan has gone UNDER 0.5 steals in 4 of his last 5 games (0.2 steals/game average) -(+110 at FanDuel)
- DeMar DeRozan has gone UNDER 1.5 turnovers in 12 of his last 15 games (1.0 turnovers/game average) - (-170 at bet365)
- Zach LaVine has gone UNDER 2.5 three pointers in 6 of his last 7 games at home (1.9 three pointers/game average) - UNDER 2.5 3PTs Made (+125 at bet365)
- The OVER hit in 8 of the Oklahoma City Thunder's last 10 games at home - OVER 227.5 turnovers (-110 at bet365)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder are 14-3-1 (77.8%) ATS in their last 18 games at home - Thunder -12.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
- James Harden has gone OVER 8.5 assists in 12 of his last 15 games (10.3 assists/game average) - (-130 at FanDuel)
Doncic UNDER 29.5 Points (-114 at FanDuel)
Doncic has been on a roller coaster since donning the purple and gold. The star guard scored 14 points against the Jazz, 16 in the rematch, and another 14 in a narrow loss to the Hornets. But he truly dazzled with a 32-point explosion, leading the Lakers to snap the Nuggets' nine-game winning streak.
His 32 points against the Nuggets were nice, but that's not his guaranteed scoring output at this point in his Lakers career. As our Outlier trend notes, Doncic has gone UNDER 29.5 points in six of his last seven home games. Some of these contests came with Dallas, but Doncic has averaged just 14 points in Los Angeles. To me, this is an easy fade.
Lavine UNDER 2.5 3-PTs Made (+125 at bet365)
I noticed a few things working against LaVine. Firstly, as the trend picks up, he has gone UNDER this prop total in six of his last seven contests (only games he's played in 2024-25). LaVine's .264 3PT% is a startling career low for a historically accurate shooter.
To add another layer, the Hornets defend shooting guards better than any other team in the NBA. Charlotte yields just 20.14 PPG to SGs (best in the league) and allows only 3.05 made 3PTs (third-best) to two-guards. All the chips are in favor of my bet here, and bet365 offers it at plus money.
Thunder -12.5 (-110 at Bet365)
The Thunder have been a bettor's delight, covering the spread in 14 of their last 18 home games. With a season ATS record of 35-20-1, they're consistently outpacing expectations. The Thunder are now favored by 12.5 points against the T-Wolves tonight. With OKC's scoring at home (120.7 PPG, 4th-best) and Minnesota's injury struggles, the Thunder are poised to cover the spread once again.
