Here’s a betting note for every Week 1 line for the regular season after the schedule was announced April 20.
Odds coustesy of Sportsbook.
Chiefs at Patriots -7, 50
The Super Bowl Sportsbook is 14-2 straight up and 10-4-2 against the spread since 2000. The Super Bowl Sportsbook is usually an automatic bet for me to start the season but a full TD may tempt some Chiefs money. Then again, the Pats were the best bet of all time last season with 15 covered spreads.
Jets at Bills -5.5, 41.5
Bills were the second-best OVER bet in the NFL last season along with the Redskins at 12-4 OVER/UNDER. This total smells a tad low to me.
Falcons at Bears +6, 51
The Falcons were the best OVER bet of all time last season at 17-2 O/U. Both totals that went UNDER were below 50 for them.
Jags at Texans -4, 42.5
Texans -4 when they have the most uncertain starting QB situation in the NFL? Idk about this one.
Eagles at Redskins -2.5, 47
Line seems just about perfect to me. Probably a pick on neutral field.
Cardinals at Lions -3, 49
Tricky matchup for Week 1. Arizona was a horrible bet last season at 6-10 ATS but the Cardinals entered with higher expectations. Roles almost reversed for these two teams this year.
Raiders at Titans -1, 52.5
If the Titans can clean up their secondary just a little, they are going to be dangerous this year. If not, I think this is the highest total of Week 1 for a reason and it may not stand a chance.
Buccaneers at Dolphins -2.5, 47.5
Ooh, all-Florida inter-conference matchup here. This is fun. The OVER went 12-5 in Dolphins games last year but the defense struggled in part because the O-line couldn’t stay healthy and keep the offense on the field.
Ravens at Bengals -1.5, 43.5
Home field may be the difference here. Both teams were dreadful at covering on the road last season at 2-6 ATS and 2-5-1 ATS.
Steelers at Browns +8.5, 47
I feel like bigger money players are going to line up again to throw their money at the Browns and this line might be too small because of it. Fading the Browns was a gold mine last year while they went 3-12-1 against the spread.
Colts at Rams +3, 47.5
The Rams closed out the year with seven straight losses last season. But can you put your money on the Colts as a fave on the road after what we saw last year? Idk.
Seahawks at Packers -3, 50
The Packers running game got something going near the end of last season. I think there could be some value on the Cheeseheads in the early going. Then again, it’s the Packers. Everybody bets them.
Panthers at 49ers +4, 48.5
The Niners had the worst defense in the NFL last season. Not my fave kinda thing to bet on. But the offense couldn’t stay on the field.
Giants at Cowboys -5.5, 51
I just feel like this is too many for this rivalry, any season, any venue, any time of year.
Saints at Vikings -3.5, 48.5
The Vikings got murdered by injuries last season. Weird matchup to cap. Saints were the second-highest scoring offense and second-worst scoring defense last season. Vikings may need some time to jell.
Chargers at Broncos -4, 44
QB issues for Broncos made them stink in the red zone last season. First look says this number is too high for me.
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