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Stephen Curry and the Warriors are home favorites Monday night in Game 5 in Celtics vs Warriors odds.

The NBA Finals shifts back to Chase Center for Game 5 as the Golden State Warriors (67-35 SU, 52-46-4 ATS) host the Boston Celtics (65-39, 57-45-2) on Monday as small home favorites. The Warriors tied up the series in Game 4 but can they take their first lead over Boston? Find out in our Celtics vs Warriors prediction.

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Celtics vs Warriors Odds & Analysis

Opening Odds 

The Warriors opened as a 3.5-point favorite for Game 5 with the total set at 212.5 points. The UNDER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the two teams at Chase Center. Boston handed Golden State its first home loss of the postseason in Game 1, but the hosts are still 12-1 in their last 13 contests at Chase Center, giving them the upper hand in our Celtics vs Warriors prediction.
 
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  • Best Spread
    -110
    -110
    BOS+4
    -4GS
  • Best Moneyline
    +145
    -154
    BOS
    GS
  • Best Total
    -110
    -110
    Over211.5
    211.5Under

Celtics Unravel In Fourth Quarter

The Celtics were right with the Warriors through three quarters, trailing 79-78 going into the final frame, but Golden State dominated the fourth to win 107-97 and knot the series at two games apiece. Jayson Tatum led Boston with 23 points and added 11 boards for a double-double while Jaylen Brown had 21 points.

Boston scored just 19 points in the final frame with its leading scorer, Tatum, managing just one basket in the quarter. The Celtics defense also came unraveled as the Warriors scored 17 of the final 20 points in the game to seal the victory.

Robert Williams (knee) is questionable for Game 5.

Curry Carries Warriors Back Into The Series

It’s been a constant theme throughout these playoffs but it was the Steph Curry show once again in Game 4. The two-time MVP scored 43 points – the third-highest scoring playoff game of his career – and added 10 rebounds to help his club tie the series. Klay Thompson scored 18 while Andrew Wiggins came up big with 17 points and 16 boards in 43 minutes of work.

To put into perspective how dominant Curry was on Friday, he outscored the rest of the Warriors starters 43-39 – talk about putting the team on your back. The star guard is now averaging 34.3 points per game in the series. Only three players have finished an NBA Finals with a higher points-per-game mark over the last 15 seasons: LeBron James (35.8 in 2015), Kevin Durant (35.2 in 2017) and Giannis Antetokounmpo (35.2 in 2021).

Andre Iguodala (knee) and Otto Porter Jr. (foot) are questionable.

Celtics vs Warriors Pick & Insights

Celtics: Keys To Cover

Boston has been extremely resilient in this postseason, holding a record of 7-0 following losses. The Celtics were also the first team to beat the Warriors at home in these playoffs so while history may be against them, it’s clear that they’re capable of bucking the trend. If they’re going to do it again, they’ll need their top guys to score while finding a way to limit Curry.

Warriors: Keys To Cover

It’s hard to ask for another 40-plus point effort from Curry, but based on his performance in this series it may not be that far-fetched. Along with dominance from Curry, Golden State has relied on second-half pushes, outscoring Boston 136-87 in the third quarter. If the Warriors can keep the first half close and have another late surge, they could take their first series lead.

NBA Computer Pick: Celtics +3.5

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Shark Bites
  • The UNDER is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings.
  • Boston is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 road games.
  • Boston is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.