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NBA Odds: Cavs host LeBron, Heat

LeBron James returns to Cleveland once again on Tuesday night, with his Heat looking for their third ATS victory against the Cavaliers in four tries this season.

Miami has thumped James' old club in all three of their matchups so far this year, going 2-1 vs. the NBA lines in those contests. OVER bettors have seen their side go 3-0 in those three games. They have a huge number to cover this time and expect the best Cavalier line to be at Bovada, which specializes in underdog point spreads.

View Miami vs Cleveland Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
If you're backing the visitors in this one, you'll find the Heat listed as 13-point favorites. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER line for this game was set at 197.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Cavaliers - Heat odds would favor the Heat if the lines were set according to power ranks. Cleveland is rated No. 30 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Heat sit at No. 3. [ Double up your bonus - special offer at Bovada

Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 106-89 win for the Heat.

How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Heat rank No. 7 in the league with 42.4 per game. That compares with Cleveland’s No. 20 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Cleveland is the NBA’s No. 16-ranked team at 6.2 per game, while the Heat rate No. 11 with 6.6 per contest.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Heat own the league's No. 6-rated mark, allowing 95.4 points per game when on the road. Cleveland, on the other hand, rates No. 27 in home scoring.

Last time out for Miami, they were a 125-119 winner as they battled the Rockets at home. The Heat failed to cover in the match as an 8-point favorite, while 244 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. The Heat got a 33-point performance from LeBron James as Miami handed Houston a 125-119 defeat on Sunday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

In their last action, Cleveland was a 99-83 loser at home against the Hawks. They failed to cover the 5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (182) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Cavaliers endured a 99-83 loss at the hands of the Hawks on Sunday, despite a 19-point effort from Baron Davis at Quicken Loans Arena.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Washington are 5-5
After playing Houston are 4-6
After a win are 7-3

Cleveland Cavaliers Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Charlotte are 5-5
After playing Atlanta are 7-3
After a loss are 3-7

A few Heat at Cavaliers trends to consider:
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Cleveland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami