Celtics vs Warriors Picks & Odds Today: Boston To Exploit Injured Opponent

The Golden State Warriors are limping into their home meeting at the Chase Center with the Boston Celtics on Monday night, which explains why oddsmakers have them listed as the 10-point betting underdogs (-110).

Here's a spread, moneyline, total, and player prop expert pick for this rematch of the 2022 NBA Finals on January 20, 2025.

Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

Preview: Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors, 5 p.m. ET

Odds as of January 20, 2025 at Sportsbook

Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors Expert Picks

Boston Celtics ATS -10, ML (-450)

The injury bug has been devouring the Warriors, who will be missing a slew of bodies versus the reigning champions and perhaps their most important of all in Stephen Curry. Despite his optimism in taking the floor, Curry is still listed as questionable due to a sprained left ankle he suffered on Saturday late in a victory over the Washington Wizards. His teammate Draymond Green will sit on Monday with a left calf strain, while Jonathan Kuminga (ankle), Kyle Anderson (hip), and Brandin Podziemski (abdomen) will all continue to be out. 

It's not as though the Celtics needed any sort of advantage here, but their recent inconsistencies have created a shred of doubt over whether or not they can take winnable games while covering the spread along the way. They're just 4-4 across their last eight outings and 8-8 in their last 16, placing them 6.5 games back of the Cleveland Cavaliers for the top seed in the Eastern Conference. Boston is also coming off an overtime loss to the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday, although Kristaps Porzingis (lower leg) and Al Horford (toe) were both absent.  

The Celtics' injury report appears clean heading into this matchup, which is the polar opposite of that for Golden State. They're 11-1 this season when favored by 10 or more points away from TD Garden, but an even 6-6 against the spread and 2-3 ATS in their last five road games altogether. It undoubtedly helps that the Warriors are hurting in more ways than one, and even if Curry is available, he won't be at 100 percent. 

These teams have traded wins during regular season over their last eight encounters, and with Golden State having taken the most recent on Nov. 6, 2024, the pattern would suggest that Boston is due here. The Celtics having a full roster to work with and the Warriors being as limited as they are pushes for a double-digit victory for the visitors just as long as they're motivated to play hard, which is never a guarantee lately. 

OVER 223.5 Total Points (-110)

Golden State has reached an OVER in its last two home games, while Boston has gone OVER in two of its last three on the road.

Offense has been an issue for the home side since Kuminga got hurt, as the Warriors rank 25th in points per 100 possessions over the last seven games at just 110, but 223.5 total points is reasonable enough and the Celtics' third-ranked offense overall can carry this OVER wager. 

Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors Player Prop

Kristaps Porzingis OVER 25.5 Points + Rebounds (-111)

Porzingis not playing against Atlanta appears to have been more precautionary than anything else, so don't expect the 7-footer to be limited here against a Golden State team which allows the 24th-most rebounds to opponents in the Association at 45.1 as well as opposing centers (15.81). 

He's also reached an OVER of 25.5 combined points and boards in each of his last six appearances, averaging a near double-double of 21 points and 8.8 rebounds during that period. 

Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

*all betting trends courtesy of Outlier