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NBA Finals Game 5 Betting Preview: Cavs are Big Underdogs Again at Oracle

With their collective backs against the wall, the Cleveland Cavaliers avoided a sweep at the hands of the Golden State Warriors in a big way in Game 4 and will look to continue their long road back in the series when Game 5 gets underway tonight in Oakland. Sportsbooks opened the Dubs as 8.5-point home chalk with a total of 231.

Shark Bites
  • The Cavaliers are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Warriors.
  • The Cavaliers are 2-7 SU in their last nine games on the road against the Warriors.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Warriors' last four games with a closing total of 230.5 or more.

Cleveland exposed the Warriors’ defense while setting records for first-quarter points (49) and halftime points (86) in an impressive 137-116 triumph. Everyone remembers Golden State blowing the 3-1 series lead in the Finals a year ago, but no NBA team has ever erased a 3-0 deficit.

Kyrie Irving continues to build his well-deserved reputation as a big-time player, as the point guard is averaging 39 points over the past two contests and 30.3 in the series. LeBron James has been his usual dominant self as well, averaging 31.8 points, 11.8 rebounds and 10.5 assists while posting his ninth career playoff triple-double in Game 4 to break a tie with Magic Johnson for most all-time.

Draymond Green, who was suspended for Game 5 of the 2016 NBA Finals after punching James in the groin, will be in the mix tonight and it could be the difference-maker. Green’s offense hasn’t been otherworldly of late but his presence on defense cannot be overstated.

If the Cavaliers want to make it 3-2, they’ll need to put forth a better effort than they did in the opening two tilts of the series. In Games 1 and 2, the wine and gold were outscored by a combined 40 points.

Unsurprisingly, the Warriors have been getting the job done when coming off a loss. In Golden State's last 15 contests after a loss, they're 12-3 SU.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The visiting Cleveland Cavaliers betting line opened this morning as 6.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark (including Bovada), while the total was hovering around 226 at BetOnline and other betting odds shops.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 119-113 result in favor of the Warriors today. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Cleveland Cavaliers will try to spoil the party on Monday; they are 44-51-4 ATS against the betting spread this NBA season, while the Golden State Warriors are 51-43-4 ATS. Cleveland is 59-38-2 vs the betting total points scored; Golden State is 44-54. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Golden State vs Cleveland injuries news.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 1-rated Golden State Warriors and the No. 17-ranked Cleveland Cavaliers, according to the NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively the game matches up Golden State's No. 1-ranked offense (116.35 PPG) against a Cleveland Cavaliers defense that ranks No. 20 at 107.14 PPG. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 49.43% from the field per game, more than the Cleveland Cavaliers have managed so far this NBA season (47.37% on average).

Recent Outings Betting Recap


Betting Trends
  • Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Cleveland is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Golden State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games
  • Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Cleveland home to Golden State, Thursday, June 15th