Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Denver
Nuggets
2 - 2
Minnesota
Timberwolves
2 - 2
November 01, 2024, 9:30 PM EDT
 | Target Center

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9:30 PM ET
See Matchup
Nuggets VS Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets +4
-110

There were only four instances last season in which Denver was an underdog of four or more points, going 3-1 SU while successfully covering the spread all four times. One of those instances came during the playoffs on May 12 in Game 4 in a 115-107 win to even its series with Minnesota at 2-2. Even across four games during the regular season, the series was split right down the middle with each team winning once at home and once on the road, so as far as matchups go, this one is as even as it gets. 

The Nuggets' offense is actually far more prolific on the road than at home thus far, averaging 124.3 points per 100 possessions away compared to just 97.3 in the Mile High City. They should keep the score close on Friday for the spread, but Minnesota is rightfully favored at home and should be taken on the moneyline. Since this is so much of a coin flip, this logic at least covers you on both grounds.

UNDER 219.5 Points
-108

Again, this game isn't making it easy for bettors to zone in on trends, because in the 11 times Denver and Minnesota took the floor against each other last season, their OVER/UNDER record was 5-6. Even in a short window this season, both teams have split their OVER/UNDER marks at 2-2 each.

Let's take the UNDER here since the Nuggets' offense only started clicking against bottom-tiered defenses, and the Timberwolves are anything but. 

Nikola Jokic OVER 27.5 Points
-104

A Nikola Jokic scoring prop at -104 odds is music to my ears. The three-time Most Valuable Player currently ranks first in the Association in scoring at 31.3 points per game, and has toppled 27.5 points in three-straight games, two of which resulted in 40 or more points.

Even against Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert last season, Jokic managed to drop 34 or more points in three of the last four outings in the postseason, while also scoring 32 or more points in three of the four games during the regular season. 

Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
DEN 108.8 +150
MIN 114.2 -175
Spread Pick
+4 -110
-4 -110
Total Pick
U 219.5 -110
O 219.5 -110

Championship 2025


Friday, November 1 Fri Nov 1


Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
+4
-110
- -
DEN
+140
O 217.5
-110
- -
-4
-110
- -
MIN
-165
U 217.5
-110
- -
OS Current
+4.5
-115
- -
DEN
+160
O 217.5
-110
- -
OS Current
-4
-109
- -
MIN
-175
U 220
-110
- -

Player Props

Filter By Position
  • Russell Westbrook
    (DEN) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    9.9
  • DeAndre Jordan
    (DEN) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.44
  • Aaron Gordon
    (DEN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    13.71
  • Nikola Jokic
    (DEN) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    26.98
  • Jamal Murray
    (DEN) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    20.35
  • Dario Saric
    (DEN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    2.39
  • Vlatko Cancar
    (DEN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.33
  • Michael Porter Jr.
    (DEN) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    14.36
  • Zeke Nnaji
    (DEN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.54
  • Christian Braun
    (DEN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    9.79
  • Peyton Watson
    (DEN) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    4.46
  • Hunter Tyson
    (DEN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.33
  • Jalen Pickett
    (DEN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.33
  • Julian Strawther
    (DEN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    4.46
  • Trey Alexander
    (DEN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • PJ Hall
    (DEN) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • Spencer Jones
    (DEN) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • Mike Conley
    (MIN) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    9.71
  • Rudy Gobert
    (MIN) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    10.85
  • Julius Randle
    (MIN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    20.78
  • Joe Ingles
    (MIN) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.37
  • PJ Dozier
    (MIN) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.57
  • Donte DiVincenzo
    (MIN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    13.82
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker
    (MIN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    6.97
  • Naz Reid
    (MIN) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    11.99
  • Anthony Edwards
    (MIN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    25.58
  • Jaden McDaniels
    (MIN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    10.51
  • Luka Garza
    (MIN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.91
  • Daishen Nix
    (MIN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.23
  • Josh Minott
    (MIN) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.34
  • Jaylen Clark
    (MIN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • Leonard Miller
    (MIN) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.23
  • Terrence Shannon Jr.
    (MIN) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • Rob Dillingham
    (MIN) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • Jesse Edwards
    (MIN) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • No Props Available

Edge Finder

106.00
Points Scored
110.67
41.49
Field Goal %
45.28
31.91
Three Point %
36.72
79.41
Free Throw %
78.57
48.67
Total Rebounds
43.33
106.00
Points Scored
110.67
24.00
First Quarter
28.00
25.00
Second Quarter
23.00
25.00
Third Quarter
33.00
27.67
Fourth Quarter
26.67
41.49
Field Goal %
45.28
79.41
Free Throw %
78.57
31.91
Three Point %
36.72
31.33
Three's Attempts
42.67
10.00
Three's Made
15.67
14.00
Offensive
9.00
34.67
Defensive
34.33
48.67
Total Rebounds
43.33
26.00
Assists
23.33
18.00
Fouls
20.67
13.67
Turnovers
14.67
10.00
Steals
5.33

Head To Head

DEN
Stat Type MIN
5-5
Record
5-5
4-6
ATS
6-4
5-5
O/U
5-5
101.20
Points Scored
104.90
50.40
Half Time Score
50.10
46.33%
Field Goal Percentage
47.77%
41.90
Rebounds
41.10
106/287
3 Point Shots
112/314
6.30
Steals
7.50
DEN
Stat Type MIN
1-2
Record
2-1
1-2
ATS
2-1
1-2
O/U
1-2
90.67
Points Scored
103.33
47.67
Half Time Score
47.00
41.77%
Field Goal Percentage
44.86%
41.67
Rebounds
47.33
24/88
3 Point Shots
33/100
3.67
Steals
8.33
May 19/24 (1 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
90
Points Scored
98
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
201 o
O/U
201 u
53
Half Time Score
38
41.00%
Field Goal Percentage
39.20%
44
Rebounds
47
8/33
3 Point Shots
10/34
3
Steals
9
May 16/24 (2 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
70
Points Scored
115
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
205.5 o
O/U
205.5 u
40
Half Time Score
59
30.20%
Field Goal Percentage
46.50%
43
Rebounds
62
7/36
3 Point Shots
15/40
2
Steals
9
May 14/24 (3 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
112
Points Scored
97
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
204.5 o
O/U
204.5 u
50
Half Time Score
44
55.00%
Field Goal Percentage
48.70%
38
Rebounds
33
9/19
3 Point Shots
8/26
6
Steals
7
May 12/24 (4 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
115
Points Scored
107
+4
ATS
-4
205.5 o
O/U
205.5 u
64
Half Time Score
49
57.00%
Field Goal Percentage
47.60%
31
Rebounds
42
13/29
3 Point Shots
11/28
7
Steals
5
May 10/24 (5 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
117
Points Scored
90
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
205.5 o
O/U
205.5 u
56
Half Time Score
41
53.80%
Field Goal Percentage
43.70%
40
Rebounds
32
14/29
3 Point Shots
10/33
9
Steals
5
May 6/24 (6 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
80
Points Scored
106
-7.5
ATS
+7.5
209.5 o
O/U
209.5 u
35
Half Time Score
61
34.90%
Field Goal Percentage
50.00%
50
Rebounds
42
9/30
3 Point Shots
13/33
6
Steals
11
May 4/24 (7 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
99
Points Scored
106
-4.5
ATS
+4.5
209.5 o
O/U
209.5 u
44
Half Time Score
40
46.70%
Field Goal Percentage
52.40%
34
Rebounds
42
13/31
3 Point Shots
11/27
12
Steals
4
Apr 10/24 (8 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
116
Points Scored
107
-7.5
ATS
+7.5
214.5 o
O/U
214.5 u
49
Half Time Score
52
55.40%
Field Goal Percentage
50.00%
44
Rebounds
35
11/25
3 Point Shots
13/30
7
Steals
9
Mar 29/24 (9 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Home
Away
98
Points Scored
111
-3
ATS
+3
210.5 o
O/U
210.5 u
43
Half Time Score
62
39.80%
Field Goal Percentage
51.40%
46
Rebounds
39
8/28
3 Point Shots
9/28
6
Steals
6
Mar 19/24 (10 of 10)
DEN
Stat Type MIN
Away
Home
115
Points Scored
112
-7.5
ATS
+7.5
216 o
O/U
216 u
70
Half Time Score
55
51.90%
Field Goal Percentage
47.70%
49
Rebounds
37
14/27
3 Point Shots
12/35
5
Steals
10

Team Records

DEN
Record MIN
2-2
All
2-2
0-2
Home
1-1
2-0
Away
1-1
2-2
As Fav
2-2
0-0
As Dog
0-0
0-4
ATS
1-3
0-2
ATS Home
0-2
0-2
ATS Away
1-1
2-2
O/U
2-2
0-2
O/U Home
1-1
2-0
O/U Away
1-1
DEN
Record MIN
2-2
All
2-2
0-2
Home
1-1
2-0
Away
1-1
2-2
As Fav
2-2
0-0
As Dog
0-0
0-4
ATS
1-3
0-2
ATS Home
0-2
0-2
ATS Away
1-1
2-2
O/U
2-2
0-2
O/U Home
1-1
2-0
O/U Away
1-1
DEN
Record MIN
0-1
All
0-0
0-1
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-1
As Fav
0-0
0-0
As Dog
0-0
0-1
ATS
0-0
0-1
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-1
O/U
0-0
0-1
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
DEN
Record MIN
2-0
All
1-0
0-0
Home
1-0
2-0
Away
0-0
2-0
As Fav
1-0
0-0
As Dog
0-0
0-2
ATS
0-1
0-0
ATS Home
0-1
0-2
ATS Away
0-0
2-0
O/U
0-1
0-0
O/U Home
0-1
2-0
O/U Away
0-0
DEN
Record MIN
0-2
All
1-2
0-2
Home
0-1
0-0
Away
1-1
0-2
As Fav
1-2
0-0
As Dog
0-0
0-2
ATS
1-2
0-2
ATS Home
0-1
0-0
ATS Away
1-1
0-2
O/U
2-1
0-2
O/U Home
1-0
0-0
O/U Away
1-1

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Aaron GordonPFIs probable Friday vs Minnesota, Knee
Vlatko CancarSFIs probable Friday vs Minnesota, Ankle
DaRon Holmes IIPFIs out for season, Achilles
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Oct 29, 2024BKN144-139W-5.5218.50L/O51.6982.9813
Oct 28, 2024TOR127-125W-8.5223.50L/O48.9680.009
Oct 26, 2024LAC104-109L-7.5218L/U40.2383.3314
Oct 24, 2024OKC87-102L-2228.50L/U35.3571.437
May 19, 2024MIN90-98L-4.5201L/U40.9687.508
May 16, 2024MIN70-115L+2.5205.50L/U30.2378.577
May 14, 2024MIN112-97W-4.5204.50W/O55.0083.339
May 12, 2024MIN115-107W+4205.50W/O56.9680.0013
May 10, 2024MIN117-90W+3.5205.50W/O53.7585.0014
May 6, 2024MIN80-106L-7.5209.50L/U34.9472.229
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Oct 29, 2024DAL114-120L-4.5220.50L/O50.6565.3819
Oct 26, 2024TOR112-101W-14.5219L/U46.9976.9214
Oct 24, 2024SAC117-115W-1222W/O47.6788.2420
Oct 22, 2024LAL103-110L-1223.50L/U41.1874.0713
May 30, 2024DAL103-124L-5209L/O42.7080.9510
May 28, 2024DAL105-100W+1.5211W/U52.7064.0011
May 26, 2024DAL107-116L+1.5207.50L/O50.5970.599
May 24, 2024DAL108-109L-6207L/O41.1881.2512
May 22, 2024DAL105-108L-4.5207L/O42.7061.1118
May 19, 2024DEN98-90W+4.5201W/U39.2486.6710
View Game Logs
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