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NBA Finals Game 4 Betting Preview: Warriors are on the Brink of History

Despite throwing everything but the kitchen sink at the Golden State Warriors in Game 3, the Cleveland Cavaliers are standing on the brink of elimination in the NBA Finals with Game 4 set for Friday at Quicken Loans Arena. Sportsbooks opened the Cavs as 6-point home underdogs with a total of 228.

Shark Bites
  • The Cavaliers are 19-2 SU in their last 21 games at home after losing their most recent home game.
  • The Cavaliers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Warriors' last eight games in the playoffs as favorite.

LeBron James called the Warriors “the most firepower I’ve played in my career. I played against some great teams, but I don’t think any team has had this kind of firepower.” That firepower let Golden State overcome a six-point deficit in the dying minutes of Wednesday’s 118-113 win which was capped by a deep Kevin Durant 3-pointer over James with 45 seconds left.

In the wake of the win, the Dubs improved to 15-0 in the postseason and have an opportunity to become the first team ever in the NBA to go perfect in the playoffs. Durant scored 14 of his 31 points in the fourth quarter in Game 3 and is averaging 34 points on 56.1 percent shooting – 52.4 percent from downtown – in the series. Stephen Curry has also been otherworldly, as the point guard is averaging 28 points, 9.7 boards and nine assists in the series.

While Cleveland overcame a 3-1 series deficit in the Finals last spring – a seemingly impossible task against the 73 regular-season win Warriors – they’re in a hole that will most likely be too difficult to climb out of. After all, no NBA squad has ever come back from a 3-0 hole to win a playoff series.

How impressive has Golden State been in the playoffs? Their 15 straight postseason wins is the longest streak in any of the four major American professional sports. Yikes.

The total, which has gone OVER in two of the three games so far in the Finals, is worth a look tonight. In the last seven tilts between the Warriors and Cavs in Ohio, the OVER is 5-2.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sports bettors looking to pick the Cleveland Cavaliers as their prediction for this matchup, they were listed earlier as -2-point favorites on the betting odds board at Bovada. Those betting on the total over/under for points scored have seen that line set at 226 for Friday at shops such as BetOnline.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 117-109 win for the Warriors. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.

Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Golden State Warriors have seen them go 82-15 and 51-42-4 ATS so far this NBA season, while the Cleveland Cavaliers are at 63-35 and 43-51-4 ATS. In Over/Under totals betting, the Cavaliers are 58-38-2, while the Golden State Warriors are 43-54. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Cleveland vs Golden State injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 17 (Cleveland Cavaliers) and the No. 1 (Warriors) teams in the league, according to our current NBA betting Power Rankings at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

In rebounding, the battle of the boards features Cleveland's No. 16-rated NBA squad against Golden State's No. 7-rated roster. When it comes to long-range shooting, Cleveland rates No. 2 in the league with 13.14 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 4 with 12.09 per outing.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Cavaliers were burned for 31 points by Kevin Durant on Wednesday as the Warriors picked up a 118-113 win at Quicken Loans Arena.

Betting Trends
  • Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games
  • Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Cleveland is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
  • Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 17 of Cleveland's last 24 games

Next Betting Matchups

Golden State home to Cleveland, Monday, June 12th