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Warriors are Covering With Ease in Miami

Draymond Green Hassan Whiteside

The high-flying Golden State Warriors are off to the best 55-game start in NBA history (50-5 SU) and will face a defense oriented bunch on Wednesday when they take their talents to South Beach to tangle with the Heat. Historically, the Dubs have enjoyed the Florida sun, as they’ve gone 7-0 ATS in their last seven at American Airlines Arena.

Shark Bites
  • The Heat are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Warriors' last five games with one day off between games.
  • The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 8.5 or more.

Just how different are these squads? The Dubs average the most fast-break points in the Association, but no team has given up fewer points on the break per game than the Heat. Stephen Curry and company top the league in three-point accuracy, with the Heat boasting the sixth-best defense against the trey ball.

Unsurprisingly, the Warriors are the best OVER team in the NBA (31-24 O/U) and the Heat own the most UNDERs so far in the 2015-16 campaign at 20-35 O/U. Sportsbooks opened the total for tonight’s matchup at 215.

Steve Kerr’s crew have hit a major skid at the betting window as of late. In their prior five affairs, the Warriors are just 1-4 ATS. Oddsmakers have tabbed them as 8.5-point faves for the tilt. This is just the second time since 2008 the Heat have been home underdogs of eight points or more.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those looking to pick the visitors as their prediction to cover in this one found the Golden State Warriors listed as -7.5-point favorites earlier at BetOnline. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER total betting line for this game was set at 216 at Bovada but may have moved since the betting odds opened.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 109-104 result in favor of the Heat today. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Miami Heat sit at 32-24 (29-26-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Golden State Warriors are currently 50-5 (30-23-2 ATS). Looking to bet on the points scored total? Miami is 20-36 OU and Golden State is 31-24 OU. This season the Miami Heat are 32-24 overall and 29-26-1 ATS against the number, while the Golden State Warriors are 50-5 and 30-23-2 ATS. As for the totals, Miami is 20-36 on the OU, and Golden State is 31-24. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami vs Golden State injuries news.

The Miami Heat sit at No. 23 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Golden State Warriors are at No. 1 on that betting chart.

Statistical Matchup

When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Golden State Warriors rank No. 3 in the league with 46.65 per game. That compares with Miami's No. 14 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Miami is the NBA's No. 28-ranked team at 5.96 per game, while the Golden State Warriors rate No. 1 with 12.87 per contest.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Golden State got 36 points from Stephen Curry en route to a 102-92 victory over Atlanta on Monday at Philips Arena.

Miami got 24 points from Goran Dragic en route to a 101-93 victory over Indiana on Monday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Betting Trends
  • Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Golden State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
  • Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • Miami is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games at home
  • Miami is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State

Next Betting Matchups

Golden State at Orlando, Thursday, February 25th
Miami at Boston, Saturday, February 27th