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Grizzlies face Heat: NBA odds preview

Memphis GrizzliesMiami Heat
March 12, 3:30 PM | AmericanAirlines Arena

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Odds

36-30TEAM RECORD44-21

Memphis travels to Miami on Saturday, hoping to boost its 36-30 mark with a victory over the Heat.

Miami will face the 36-30 Grizzlies, who own a 41-24-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Heat are 34-30-1 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Grizzlies are 34-32 favoring the OVER.

View Memphis vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 7-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark, while the total was hovering around 195 at most shops.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 3 (Heat) and the No. 14 (Grizzlies) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 105-101 result in favor of the Heat is predicted by handicapping models.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 10-ranked offense (101.3 PPG) against a Grizzlies defense that ranks No. 14 at 98.3 PPG. The Heat have averaged 47.5% from the field per game, more than the Grizzlies have managed so far this season (46.7% on average).

Defensively, the Grizzlies feature the league's No. 14-rated defense on the road, allowing 98.9 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 11 in the league in scoring at home.

Last time out for Memphis, they were a 110-108 loser as they battled the Knicks at home. The Grizzlies failed to cover in the match as a 4.5-point favorite, while 218 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Tony Allen scored 22 points in a failed effort to lead the Grizzlies to victory (they lost 110-108 to New York at FedExForum on Wednesday).

The Heat were a 94-88 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Lakers. They covered the 1–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (182) made winners of UNDER bettors. Miami earned a 94-88 victory over Los Angeles on Thursday, getting 24 points from Chris Bosh at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Memphis Grizzlies Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing LA Clippers are 5-5
After playing New York are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing San Antonio are 3-7
After playing LA Lakers are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

A few Grizzlies at Heat trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 11 games on the road
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis

Next up:
Memphis home to LA Clippers, Monday, March 14
Miami home to San Antonio, Monday, March 14