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Grizzlies face Heat: NBA odds preview

Memphis GrizzliesMiami Heat
40-27March 21, 2014, 07:30 | AmericanAirlines Arena46-20

The Grizzlies will look to pick up a win while covering the spread when they take on the Heat in Miami at AmericanAirlines Arena on Friday in NBA action.

Miami will face the 40-27 Grizzlies, who own a 30-35-2 ATS mark on the season. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Heat are 38-28 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Grizzlies are 33-34 favoring the OVER.View Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Odds and Stats.

This game pits the Heat, currently No. 18 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Grizzlies, who rate No. 16 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 96-92 victory for the Heat.

The Grizzlies were a 96-86 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Jazz. They failed to cover the 11.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (182) made winners of UNDER bettors. Zach Randolph scored 21 points and added 11 rebounds for a double-double, leading Memphis over Utah, 96-86, on Wednesday at FedExForum.

Miami lost its last outing, a 101-96 result against the Celtics on March 19. The Heat failed to cover in that game as a 4.5-point favorite, while the 197 combined points took the game OVER the total. Miami got 17 points from Dwyane Wade but lost anyway 101-96 against the Celtics on Wednesday at TD Garden.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 9-ranked offense (103.88 PPG) against a Grizzlies defense that ranks No. 3 at 94.45 PPG. The Heat have averaged 50.65% from the field per game, more than the Grizzlies have managed so far this season (46.21% on average).

A few Grizzlies at Heat trends to consider:
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Memphis's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

Next up:
Memphis home to Indiana, Saturday, March 22nd
Miami at New Orleans, Saturday, March 22nd