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Grizzlies face Timberwolves: NBA odds preview

Memphis GrizzliesMinnesota Timberwolves
44-30April 02, 2014, 08:00 | Target Center36-37

The Grizzlies will look to pick up a win while covering the spread when they take on the Timberwolves in Minnesota at Target Center on Wednesday in NBA action.

Supporters of the Grizzlies have seen them go 44-30 and 32-40-2 ATS so far this season, while the Timberwolves are at 36-37 and 35-38 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Timberwolves are 35-34-4, while the Grizzlies are 36-38.View Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds and Stats.

Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Timberwolves as 3.5-point underdogs in this matchup earlier today, while the OVER/UNDER line was sitting around 198.5 earlier at GTbets.eu.

The Timberwolves - Grizzlies odds would favor the Grizzlies if the lines were set according to power ranks. Minnesota is rated No. 15 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Grizzlies sit at No. 14. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 95-94 win for the Timberwolves.

The Grizzlies were a 94-92 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Nuggets. They failed to cover the 5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (186) made winners of UNDER bettors. Memphis got 20 points and 11 rebounds from Zach Randolph en route to a 94-92 victory over Denver on Monday at Pepsi Center.

Minnesota lost its last outing, a 114-104 result against the Clippers on March 31. The Timberwolves failed to cover in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 218 combined points took the game OVER the total. The Timberwolves got a 20-point performance from Kevin Love, who added 13 rebounds, but Los Angeles still ran past Minnesota 114-104 on Monday at Target Center.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Minnesota's No. 4-ranked offense (106.71 PPG) against a Grizzlies defense that ranks No. 3 at 94.14 PPG. The Timberwolves have averaged 44.29% from the field per game, less than the Grizzlies have managed so far this season (46.3% on average).

A few Grizzlies at Timberwolves trends to consider:
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 11 games
Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Memphis home to Denver, Friday, April 4th
Minnesota at Miami, Friday, April 4th