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Boston Miami NBA Odds Pick

TD Garden will feature Celtics vs. Heat action on Tuesday as both teams battle significant injury situations as they head towards the playoffs this weekend.

The Heat, who may be without LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh, will probably rest, knowing they can't catch the Bulls. The Celtics have motivation to grab home-court advantage from the Hawks.

Boston has beaten Miami twice this month and is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home.

The Celtics are 37-27 so far on the season, and 32-31-1 ATS vs. the number. The Heat, meanwhile, are 46-18 and 32-32 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Boston go 29-35 and the Heat go 25-37-2 on the totals.

View Miami vs Boston Odds and Stats.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 18 (Celtics) and the No. 4 (Heat) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 100-96 result in favor of the Heat is predicted by handicapping models.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Boston's No. 26-ranked offense, averaging 92.1 PPG, against a Heat defense that ranks No. 4 at 92.5 PPG. The Celtics field goal percentage has averaged 46.2% so far, less than the Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 47.2% per game.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Heat own the league's No. 11-rated mark, allowing 95.8 points per game when on the road. Boston, on the other hand, rates No. 26 in home scoring.

Last time out for Miami, they were a 97-88 winner as they battled the Rockets at home. The Heat covered in the match as a 5-point favorite, while 185 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Heat got a 32-point performance from LeBron James as Miami handed Houston a 97-88 defeat on Sunday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

In their last action, Boston was a 97-92 loser on the road against the Hawks. They covered the 10.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (189) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Avery Bradley scored 28 points for Boston on Friday, but the Hawks managed a 97-92 victory over the Celtics at Philips Arena.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Washington are 4-6
After playing Houston are 3-7
After a win are 6-4

Boston Celtics Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Milwaukee are 7-3
After playing Atlanta are 7-3
After a loss are 8-2


A few Heat at Celtics trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Miami

Next up:
Miami at Washington, Thursday, April 26
Boston home to Milwaukee, Thursday, April 26