Kevin Durant and the Oklahoma City Thunder are home favorites again at the sportsbooks for Thursday night as they take on the Miami Heat in the second game of the 2012 NBA Finals.
And that is signficant, since they are now 8-2 ATS in their past 10 games as a favorite, while the Heat are now 0-6 SU and ATS in theior past 6 games as underdogs.
The Thunder surged in the second half of Game 1 on Tuesday night, winning 105-94 behind a 36-point effort from Durant and covering the spread. LeBron James scored 30 points for Miami in the loss.
This season the Thunder are 47-19 overall and 35-31 ATS against the number, while the Heat are 46-20 and 32-34 ATS. As for the totals, Oklahoma City is 31-35 on the OU, and Miami is 25-39-2.
View Miami vs Oklahoma City Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Bettors looking to back the visiting Heat before tip-off in this one will find them as 4.5-point underdogs at Sportsbook, while the total sat at 195 over at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Thunder sit at No. 2 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Heat are at No. 5 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Thunder will win this game 106-104.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oklahoma City's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 103.1 PPG, against a Heat defense that ranks No. 4 at 92.5 PPG. The Thunder field goal percentage has averaged 47.1% so far, more than the Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 46.9% per game.
Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 10-rated defense on the road, allowing 95.5 points per game. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, comes in at No. 1 in the league in scoring at home.
The Heat were a 105-94 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Thunder. They failed to cover the 5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (199) made winners of OVER bettors. Miami got 30 points from LeBron James en route to a 105-94 loss at the hands of Miami on Tuesday at Chesapeake Energy Arena.
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Oklahoma City are 8-2
After playing Oklahoma City are 4-6
After a loss are 6-4
Oklahoma City Thunder Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
Before playing Miami are 5-5
After playing Miami are 7-3
After a win are 8-2
A few Heat at Thunder trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Next up:
Miami home to Oklahoma City, Sunday, June 17
Oklahoma City at Miami, Sunday, June 17
