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High Totals are No Issue for Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers Klay Thompson

The Golden State Warriors-Los Angeles Lakers matchup is one of the more lopsided games on Thursday’s slate of NBA games, but if you dig into the trends leading up to the contest, there’s no shortage of value for bettors.

Shark Bites
  • The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
  • The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after consecutive ATS losses.
  • The Lakers are 0-11 SU in their last 11 games on the road in January.

The Warriors (36-3 SU) are coming off a huge 112-110 upset at the hands of the lowly Denver Nuggets the night before. As for the Lakers (9-31 SU), well, they’re a professional basketball team that’s simply not very good.

Considering how well the Dubs have played this season and how poorly the Lakers have performed, it’s not much of a surprise to see the Warriors open as massive 17-point home favorites for the affair.

But when it comes to covering big spreads, the sportsbooks may be overestimating Stephen Curry and company. Heading into tonight, the Warriors have been favored by 15 or more points six times in the campaign but are a measly 2-4 ATS despite winning outright in each.

On the other side of the fence, L.A. has been underdogs of 10 points or higher on 16 occasions this year and are 7-9 ATS while going 2-14 SU.

The total, which opened 214.5 but has risen since, will rightfully draw plenty of action in this one. Golden State has faced totals of 214 or higher 15 times this year with the OVER going a sizzling 11-4 during that span.

Just how lopsided are oddsmakers expecting this game to be? Online book Sports Interaction is dealing the Warriors with a moneyline price of -7400. In other words, if you’re wagering $100 on Golden State to put up a straight up win at Oracle Arena tonight, you’ll collect a paltry $1.35. This goes without saying, but you should not do this.

Feeling confident in the Lakeshow? Putting down $100 on the Lakers’ moneyline will give you a cool $1,700. Hey, no one expected the Nuggets to win last night. In the words of Kevin Garnett: ANYTHING IS POSSIBIIIIIIIIIILE!

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those looking to pick the visitors as their prediction to cover in this one found the Los Angeles Lakers listed as 17-point underdogs earlier at BetOnline. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER total betting line for this game was set at 214.5 at Bovada but may have moved since the betting odds opened.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 111-97 win for the Warriors. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Golden State battles the Los Angeles Lakers, currently with a 9-31 mark (18-22 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, important for totals betting, are 24-15 for the Golden State Warriors and 18-22 for the Los Angeles Lakers. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Golden State vs Los Angeles injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams with the Golden State Warriors rated this week at No. 2 and the Los Angeles Lakers sitting at No. 27.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively the game matches up Golden State's No. 1-ranked offense (114.31 PPG) against a Los Angeles Lakers defense that ranks No. 28 at 105.53 PPG. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 48.74% from the field per game, more than the Los Angeles Lakers have managed so far this NBA season (41.15% on average).

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Lakers got 19 points from Louis Williams as Los Angeles ran past New Orleans 95-91 on Tuesday at STAPLES Center.

The Warriors got a terrific 38-point performance from Stephen Curry but Denver handed them a 112-110 defeat on Wednesday at Pepsi Center.

Betting Trends
  • LA Lakers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • LA Lakers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
  • LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Golden State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
  • Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Los Angeles at Utah, Saturday, January 16th
Golden State at Detroit, Saturday, January 16th