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NBA Finals Betting: Mavericks vs. Heat

The Dallas Mavericks stormed back to tie the series in Game 2 and they'll look for another win against the Miami Heat at home tonight when the NBA Finals heads to Dallas for Game 3.

In Game 2 Dallas came back from a late deficit to upset the Heat 95-93 as a 4.5-point underdog. Dirk Nowitzki led the Mavericks with 24 points and 11 rebounds, while Dwyane Wade had 36 points for Miami.

View Miami vs Dallas Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to back the visiting Heat before tip-off in this one will find them as 3-point underdogs, while the total sits at 187.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 6 (Mavericks) and the No. 3 (Heat) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 106-102 result in favor of the Heat is predicted by handicapping models.

How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Heat rank No. 9 in the league with 42.1 per game. That compares with Dallas’s No. 14 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Dallas is the NBA’s No. 8-ranked team at 7.9 per game, while the Heat rate No. 11 with 6.7 per contest.

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 3-rated defense on the road, allowing 95.2 points per game. Dallas, meanwhile, comes in at No. 13 in the league in scoring at home.

Dallas won its last outing, a 95-93 result against the Heat on June 2. The Mavericks covered in that game as a 4.5-point underdog, while the 188 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Dirk Nowitzki scored 24 points and added 11 rebounds for a double-double, leading Dallas over Miami, 95-93, on Thursday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Dallas are 6-4
After playing Dallas are 6-4
After a loss are 7-3

Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Miami are 9-1
After playing Miami are 8-2
After a win are 8-2

A few Heat at Mavericks trends to consider:
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Dallas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

Next up:
Miami at Dallas, Tuesday, June 7
Dallas home to Miami, Tuesday, June 7