Game 5 goes a long way towards determining the ultimate victor of a best-of-seven NBA playoff series tied at 2-2, which both the Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder will try to conquer on Wednesday night at the Paycom Center. We've put together a same-game parlay for this crucial matchup.
Here's a look at our SGP and why each leg/prop warrants your attention.
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 Same-Game Parlay
Matchup Page: Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder, 9:30 p.m. ET
Expert Picks: Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5
Bet | Odds |
---|---|
Luka Doncic UNDER 38.5 PTS + AST | +100 |
Lu Dort OVER 1.5 Made 3-Pointers | -162 |
P.J. Washington OVER 14.5 Points | -122 |
Overall | +433 |
Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 1: Luka Doncic UNDER 38.5 PTS + AST
The Thunder are more than content throwing a second body at Luka Doncic and making him a passer in this series, evident by his point totals dropping in each of the last three games while never exceeding the 30-point mark. He's scored less than 20 points twice already against Oklahoma City after doing so a grand total of five times in 70 appearances during the regular season.
Doncic is clearly hobbled, and while connecting on 11-of-21 from the field in Game 2 was thought to be the spark to reignite his offense, the Most Valuable Player finalist has only converted 13-of-37 (35.1 percent) since then. In the case of his PTS + AST props, while he reached the OVER on 38.5 in five of Dallas' six games in the opening round against the Los Angeles Clippers, he has yet to do so once against the Thunder, maxing out at 36 in Game 2 while falling below 28 in Games 3 and 4.
Oklahoma City's game plan appears to be working, taking advantage of Doncic's injuries, making him work out of double teams, and keeping his production to as much of a minimum as possible.
Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 2: Lu Dort OVER 1.5 Made 3-Pointers
Lu Dort has attempted 70 total shots this postseason, 49 of which have come from behind the arc. He even took 10 from the perimeter in the Thunder's 100-96 road win in Game 4, which was just the second time all season Dort shot double-digit attempts from 3-point range.
This is the fourth game in a row that oddsmakers have Dort's player prop for 3-pointers made at 1.5, so they're either not paying attention to his numbers or don't believe this streak of his will continue. I'm not quite sure how long a streak or trend has to run before it escapes the realm of "anomaly," but Dort has converted two or triples every game of the playoffs on a team-high 6.1 attempts.
The question now becomes what day it will be that Dort drains fewer than two, but considering doing the opposite is all he's done thus far, taking the UNDER here would be rather foolish no matter the odds.
Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 3: P.J. Washington OVER 14.5 Points
Entering this series, P.J. Washington had an astronomical +25000 odds to finish with the most points of any single player. Now that ship has sailed with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander having 127 total points through four games, but surprisingly, Washington is just a single point behind Doncic for the overall lead on Dallas with 87.
The Mavericks have needed a third option to emerge on offense, and since Oklahoma City has done a number on both Doncic and Kyrie Irving, who's only averaging 15 points versus the Thunder, Washington has become that man while his superstar teammates command much of the attention on defense.
The line jumped from 10.5 points to 13.5 and then 15.5 from Games 2 through 4, and Washington toppled them all by averaging 25.7 points on 48.3 percent shooting, which is actually tops on Dallas during that stretch. He scored 20 or more points each time, as well, which he hadn't done all season.