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Bucks are a Sizzling Bet vs Heat

Many NBA pundits expected the Milwaukee Bucks to take the leap into becoming one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference this season, but they’re entering the mid-point of the campaign outside of the playoff picture with a 18-25 SU record. The good news for Bucks fans and bettors is they’re taking on a team they’ve traditionally fared well against on Tuesday—the Miami Heat.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Heat' last 10 games after losing the previous game in a matchup.
  • The Bucks are 3-7 SU and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games with two days off between games.
  • The Heat are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games after a loss.

Milwaukee is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four matchups with the boys from South Beach. The Heat, who opened as 5.5-point home favorites at sportsbooks, have not been producing in this spot, going 1-6 ATS in the last seven games that they’ve been favored by 5.5 points or more. The Bucks are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their prior four outings when labeled as underdogs of 5.5 or less.

When the Bucks clash with Eastern Conference squads, the OVER is a hot bet. Fourteen of Milwaukee’s last 19 games against inter-conference teams have gone above the closing total.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Miami Heat opened as -6-point favorites at online sportsbook BetOnline, while the NBA total line was sitting around 195.5 at Bovada for those who prefer OVER/UNDER betting on the total amount of points scored.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 100-97 win for the Bucks. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Milwaukee Bucks will look to vanquish their hosts on Tuesday, as they are 22-20-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Miami Heat are 20-20-1 ATS. Milwaukee is 24-18-1 against the points scored total betting line, while Miami is 14-27 versus the line. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami vs Milwaukee injuries news.

The Heat - Bucks betting odds would favor the Heat if the lines were set according to power rankings. Miami is rated No. 18 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Milwaukee Bucks sit at No. 25.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Miami's No. 26-ranked offense averaging 96.41 PPG, against a Milwaukee Bucks defense that ranks No. 22 at 103.3 PPG. The Miami Heat field goal percentage has averaged 46.07% so far, more than the Milwaukee Bucks shooters have achieved on the year, 46% per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Milwaukee got 24 points from Khris Middleton en route to a 105-92 victory over Charlotte on Saturday at Time Warner Cable Arena.

The Heat were blown out by Oklahoma City on Sunday, losing by a 99-74 final at Chesapeake Energy Arena in basketball betting action.

Betting Trends
  • Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Milwaukee is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
  • Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • Miami is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
  • Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Next Betting Matchups

Milwaukee at Houston, Friday, January 22nd
Miami at Washington, Wednesday, January 20th