English
Menu

OddsShark Top Sportsbooks

*Terms and Conditions apply to all bonus offers on this website. Please visit operator for details.

NBA And NHL Playoff Preview And Picks For April 19

Well, we had some technical difficulties with the Periscope show today and we went live on YouTube. 

You can watch that in the vid above and we’ll iron out the wrinkles before tomorrow when we go live at noon ET. 

The good news is I’m heating up with my playoff picks: 

Now 7-4 in the NHL after a 3-1 night last night. Up $340 (based on $100/gm bets)
NBA 5-3 ATS after a 2-1 night last night.  

A few notes to keep in mind for tonight...

NBA: Teams up 2-0 in a series only win Game 3 43.5 percent of the time historically. Just 47.5 percent of the time in Round 1 historically. Blazers and Spurs down 2-0 and both home dogs tonight.

Teams down 2-0 in a series are 28-3 ATS in the first half over the last three seasons in the playoffs. (Hat tip to Jason Logan of Covers for that stat.) 

NHL: UNDERs coming back in a big way. 7-0 last two nights. Avg goals per game went from 6.39 to 5.73. 

Faves win at 60 percent in the first round going back to 2000. Game 3 when teams are up 2-0 is the exception here – teams only win at 52 percent in that spot. Faves these playoffs are 20-10 SU (+$258.97 based on $100 bets).

NBA: 

Sixers at Heat +2, 216.5 

  • Sounds like no Joel Embiid again for the Sixers 
  • Nice coaching battle shaping up in this series. Heat made all the right adjustments in Game 2. 
  • I don’t think Dwyane Wade has quite the same game but I think he opened up the floor. I think we’ll see more points in the paint from the Heat in Game 3. Sixers badly outscoring Heat in the paint through two games. 
  • Heat have to get Whiteside involved. 6 points in two games. 
  • Sixers have lost their last seven games in Miami. 

Pick: Heat +2 

Blazers at Pelicans -3, 216 

  • Pelicans are a smoking-hot bet with seven straight wins and covered spreads.
  • Blazers have covered the spread in just three of their last 10 games.  
  • Pellies are a hot-shooting team. 2nd in FG% in the NBA this season, 13th in 3-point shooting. Have been the much better shooting team through two games.
  • Last three meetings all went UNDER.  
  • Blazers playing for their lives. Lost five straight on the road but have to come out with better start. 
  • Blazers changed up their game plan from Game 1 when they had 29 fast-break points vs 4 in Game 2. 
  • Teams went 9-3 ATS last year in the first half of Game 3 when down 2-0. Very good betting spot in recent years.
  • Pelicans were a much better bet on the road this season at 28-15 ATS vs 19-21-1 ATS at home. 
  • Blazers were 23-17-1 ATS on the road this season. 

Pick: Blazers first half 

Warriors at Spurs +3.5, 107.8 

  • Unfortunate storyline with the passing of Erin Popovich, the wife of Spurs coach Gregg Popovich. 
  • Think the Spurs come out motivated wanting to win one for their coach but not sure they can hang with the Warriors for 48 minutes 
  • Warriors just shooting the lights out on the Spurs. Better than 52% both games FG% and better than 45% both games from 3-point range. 
  • Warriors are the third-worst bet of teams in the playoffs (36-47-1 ATS) behind only the Cavs and Thunder 
  • Spurs went just 5-20 as a dog this season straight up but they were 25-14-1 ATS at home. That’s second-best home ATS mark behind only Philly.    

Pick: Spurs first half 

NHL: 

Bruins at Leafs +102, 6 

  • OVER is 2-1 in this series 
  • Frederik Andersen was much better in nets for the Leafs in Game 3
  • Nazem Kadri serving third game of three-game suspension. 
  • Leafs were a different team last game. Once Bruins settled in, they took the play to the Leafs in the third. 
  • Only two power plays combined in the last game. Think we’ll see a grittier contest with more penalties this game. Bruins have the much better overall special teams. 

Pick: Bruins 

Capitals at Blue Jackets -110, 5.5 

  • Series arb available. We mentioned to take the Caps +375 last game. If you take CBJ’s -195 right now, you can guarantee yourself a min profit of $51 with a max of $175 (based on $100 bets). 
  • Three straight OT games. Have to wonder about fatigue and emotional factors. 
  • Last game was the first UNDER in nine Blue Jackets games and six Caps games. 
  • Braden Holtby back in nets, saw better goaltending for the Capitals 
  • Discipline and special teams a huge factor in this series. Caps 5-for-12 on the PP in the series. CBJ went 0-4 last game. 

Pick: OVER

Follow me on Twitter @JonnyOddsShark

Comments