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NBA And NHL Playoff Preview And Picks For April 24

It’s a sad night when we have no H-ball and the first round isn’t even over yet. 

It’s especially sad for me because hockey is where I’ve been making my money these playoffs. 

Take a look: 

Now 12-7 in the NHL after a 1-1 Monday night. Up $347 (based on $100/gm bets)
NBA 7-10 ATS after a 1-2 night Monday. 

Three NBA games are on the slate for Tuesday night with the Sixers and Warriors in position to close out their series. Both teams are double-digit faves. 

Just a reminder that double-digit dogs in the playoffs since 1994 only cover the spread at 47 percent (74-84-3 ATS).  

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Bucks at Celtics -3.5, 203 

  • Celtics 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Bucks
  • OVER is 4-0 in this series, 6-0 last six meetings. 
  • Total has gone OVER in the last seven Celtics games and 11 of the last 12 Bucks games
  • Blame the OVERs simply on totals being too low. Last two games went OVER by a combined four points.
  • Milwaukee doing a great job switching off ball screens on defense. As a result, Celtics averaging 97 ppg last two games vs 116 points per game on the season. 
  • Boston FG% down from 47.4 to 40.7 and 3-point down from 42.1 percent to 33.9.
  • Marcus Smart questionable for Boston but cleared by doctors. 
  • I think Brad Stevens makes the right adjustments in Game 5. 

Pick: Celtics -3.5  

Heat at Sixers -10, 215 

  • I think we’re starting to see how much better the Sixers are than the Heat. 
  • Sixers had 27 turnovers in Game 4 but still managed to win and cover. 
  • In-game betting notes: Philadelphia has outscored Miami by 42 points in the fourth quarter through four games. Heat have kept it close in the first half in all four games.
  • Josh Richardson questionable, although expected to play for the Heat with a shoulder sprain.  

Pick: Heat first half 

Spurs at Warriors -11.5, 204.5 

  • Emotional letdown factor here for Spurs. Won a game for Coach Pop. It’s already factored into the line, maybe 2 points.  
  • Spurs are 0-10 SU last 10 road games. 0-9 ATS last nine road games. 0-22 SU last 22 games as a double-digit dog. 
  • Warriors had 24 offensive rebounds and out-rebounded the Spurs 61-34 last game. 
  • Warriors had twice as many turnovers as the Spurs in Game 4 and Spurs shot 53 percent from 3-point land. Don’t see those two things happening again. 
  • Warriors shot better at home from 3 during the season (40.7 percent vs. 37.6 percent)

Pick: Warriors

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