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I have been talking all week about how underdogs will come back after favorites jumped out to a flash start in the NBA playoffs. And they have been coming back. 

Six straight underdogs have now cashed in the NBA playoffs and I’m on a 7-0 run against the spread. I think tonight’s games are a little trickier to handicap but I’m going to keep riding the dogs. 

Here’s a look at my record heading into Friday night: 

Now 20-14-1 in the NHL after a 0-2 Wednesday. I’m up $500 (based on $100/gm bets)
Now 18-16 ATS in the NBA after a 2-0 Wednesday. I’ve now covered my last seven NBA picks ATS.  

Click on the video above to see my picks more in-depth. May the fourth be with you: 


Warriors at Pelicans +4.5, 232 

Steve Kerr will start Steph Curry tonight, it sounds like. He’s pretty good, so no arguments from me. 

That’s part of why this is the highest total of the NBA playoffs. It’s also because we’ve had six straight OVERs come through and these teams have gone OVER the total in four straight meetings. 

These are the No. 1 and 2 field-goal shooting teams in the NBA this season but the Pelicans need to hit a bunch more threes to earn the upset. I think we’ll see that back at home. 

Pick: Pelicans 

Rockets at Jazz +4.5, 208  

The Rockets had a pathetic effort level last game and they lost as an 11-point favorite as a result. They’re a better bet on the road than at home at 25-20-1 ATS and I’m sure we’ll see more energy this game. 

The Jazz also shot the lights out last game and I think the Rockets had trouble adjusting to a game plan with no Ricky Rubio. Rubio is questionable again tonight but I think the Jazz might surprise some people in this series. 

Pick: Jazz +4.5 


Lightning at Bruins -160, 6 

Jake DeBrusk and Brad Marchand are questionable for the Bruins with undisclosed injuries. DeBrusk has six goals these playoffs and Marchand is the Bruins’ most important player this season. These will be big misses from the lineup if neither can play. 

The OVER is 6-1-4 in the last 11 Bruins home games but if neither of those players can play, the Bruins offense takes a major hit. 

Pick: UNDER 

Sharks at Knights -155, 5.5 

Martin Jones was much better for the Sharks in Game 4 while Marc-Andre Fleury had his worst game yet. That could be the result of the blasting he’s been taking all series from San Jose, which has averaged 40 shots per game. 

San Jose has four power-play goals in the last three games and I just think this line should be closer. 

Pick: Sharks