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NBA betting line favors Heat over Celtics

Boston CelticsMiami Heat
April 10, 7:00 PM | AmericanAirlines Arena

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Odds

32-24TEAM RECORD40-15

Boston travels to Miami on Tuesday, hoping to boost its 32-24 mark with a victory over the Heat.

The Heat bring a 40-15 record (27-28 ATS) to the battle against the 32-24 Celtics, who are 28-27-1 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Miami go 23-30-2 so far and the Celtics go 25-31.

View Boston vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Heat are listed as 7.5-point favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark, with the total listed at 183.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Heat at No. 3 and the Celtics at No. 18 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 101-96 result in favor of the Heat.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 4-ranked offense, averaging 100.2 PPG, against a Celtics defense that ranks No. 3 at 89.3 PPG. The Heat field goal percentage has averaged 47.4% so far, more than the Celtics shooters have achieved on the year, 45.9% per game.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Celtics own the league's No. 5-rated mark, allowing 94.1 points per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 5 in home scoring.

The Celtics were a 103-79 winner in their most recent outing at home against the 76ers. They covered the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (182) made winners of OVER bettors. The battle between the Celtics and 76ers didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Philadelphia was handed a 103-79 defeat on Sunday at TD Garden.

In their last action, Miami was a 98-75 winner at home against the Pistons. They covered the 11-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (173) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Detroit was run off the court by the Heat on Sunday as Miami blasted the Pistons 98-75 at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Boston Celtics Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Atlanta are 6-4
After playing Philadelphia are 8-2
After a win are 7-3

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 8-2
Before playing Chicago are 6-4
After playing Detroit are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

A few Celtics at Heat trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Boston is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Miami is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games at home

Next up:
Boston home to Atlanta, Wednesday, April 11
Miami at Chicago, Thursday, April 12