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NBA betting line favors Nuggets over Kings

Denver NuggetsSacramento Kings
March 5, 10:00 PM | Power Balance Pavilion

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Odds

39-22TEAM RECORD21-40

The visiting Nuggets hope to send their backers to the pay window on Tuesday as they look to cover the spread at Power Balance Pavilion against the Kings.

Sacramento will face the 39-22 Nuggets, who own a 36-25 ATS mark on the season. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Kings are 36-24-1 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Nuggets are 37-24 favoring the OVER.

View Denver vs Sacramento Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
For bettors going with the Kings in this one, they were listed earlier as 7-point underdogs on the betting line at Bovada. Totals bettors have seen that number set at 220 for Monday at shops such as 5Dimes.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Kings at No. 29 and the Nuggets at No. 5 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 107-96 result in favor of the Nuggets.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Sacramento's No. 12-ranked offense (98.5 PPG) against a Nuggets defense that ranks No. 25 at 101.6 PPG. The Kings have averaged 44.2% from the field per game, less than the Nuggets have managed so far this season (47.5% on average).

Defensively, the Nuggets feature the league's No. 25-rated defense on the road, giving up 104 points per game. Sacramento, meanwhile, comes in at No. 10 in the league in scoring at home.

In their last action, Denver was a 104-88 winner at home against the Hawks. They covered the 9.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (192) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Denver got 22 points from Corey Brewer en route to a 104-88 victory over Atlanta on Monday at Pepsi Center.

Sacramento won its last outing, a 119-83 result against the Bobcats on March 3. The Kings covered in that game as an 8-point favorite, while the 202 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Kings blew out Charlotte on Sunday, running up the score in a 119-83 win at Power Balance Pavilion.

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing LA Clippers are 7-3
After playing Atlanta are 7-3
After a win are 8-2

Sacramento Kings Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Golden State are 1-9
After playing Charlotte are 4-6
After a win are 3-7

A few Nuggets at Kings trends to consider:
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Denver
Sacramento is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 16 games at home

Next up:
Denver home to LA Clippers, Thursday, March 7
Sacramento at Golden State, Wednesday, March 6