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NBA betting line favors Timberwolves over Mavericks

Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Dec 15, 8:00 PM | Target Center

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

11-12TEAM RECORD11-9

The Timberwolves will look to boost their win total and cover the spread when the Mavericks tip off at Target Center on Saturday in NBA play.

Supporters of the Mavericks have seen them go 11-12 and 11-12 ATS so far this season, while the Timberwolves are at 11-9 and 12-8 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Timberwolves are 11-9, while the Mavericks are 13-10.

View Dallas vs Minnesota Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Mavericks were listed as 5-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks (including Sportsbook.ag), with the total listed at 194 earlier in the day (check BetOnline for updates during the day).

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Timberwolves sit at No. 11 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Mavericks are at No. 23 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Timberwolves will win this game 99-96.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Minnesota's No. 21-ranked offense, averaging 94.9 PPG, against a Mavericks defense that ranks No. 26 at 101 PPG. The Timberwolves field goal percentage has averaged 43.4% so far, less than the Mavericks shooters have achieved on the year, 45.2% per game.

Defensively, the Mavericks feature the league's No. 23-rated defense on the road, giving up 102.7 points per game. Minnesota, meanwhile, comes in at No. 25 in the league in scoring at home.

Last time out for Dallas, they were a 95-74 loser as they battled the Raptors on the road. The Mavericks failed to cover in the match as a 5-point favorite, while 169 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. The Mavericks were blown out by Toronto on Friday, losing by a 95-74 final at Air Canada Centre in basketball betting action.

Minnesota was a 113-102 winner in its last match on the road against the Hornets. They covered the 4.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 215 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Nikola Pekovic went off for 31 points and added 5 rebounds leading Minnesota to a 113-102 win over New Orleans on Friday at New Orleans Arena.

Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 7-3
Before playing Philadelphia are 6-4
After playing Toronto are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

Minnesota Timberwolves Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 1-9
Before playing Orlando are 3-7
After playing New Orleans are 4-6
After a win are 5-5

A few Mavericks at Timberwolves trends to consider:
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Dallas is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 14 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing at home against Dallas
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

Next up:
Dallas home to Philadelphia, Tuesday, December 18
Minnesota at Orlando, Monday, December 17