Odds Shark Top Sportsbooks
*Terms and Conditions apply to all bonus offers on this website. Visit operator for details.

NBA Free Pick: Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies March 27

NBA Free Pick Linebacker Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies

Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies (MEM +11, O/U 219)

Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors head to Memphis looking for their fourth win in the last five games. The Grizzlies are hoping for back-to-back home wins after beating OKC on Monday, and will do so with a depleted roster. Our model likes Golden State to win fairly easily, but it’s found an edge on the total for tonight’s game.

The Linebacker projects the total will go UNDER the current 219 line, as our model projects a final score of 111.1 - 100.5 in favor of the Warriors. With 211.6 projected points and a total of 219, our model suggests a wager of $86 on UNDER 219 for a $100 average bettor.

The Linebacker’s NBA model has gone 507-448 (53.1%) ATS and 520-485 (51.7%) on OVER/UNDERs this season, producing $2,892 in profit for $100 average bettors. Head to www.thelinebacker.com/pricing to start your free trial today and get every NBA pick!

Why will the total go Under?

  • The Warriors rank second in scoring this season with 117.3 ppg, but have fallen off recently. In the last eight games, Golden State has averaged just 109.1 points per game despite shooting a third-highest 48.1 percent from the field over that span.
  • The reason? Golden State’s pace has dropped to 98.5 possessions per game in that span, falling over three possessions per game below its season-long mark. That pace in the last eight games ranks 22nd in the league.
  • Memphis excels on defense as well, holding opponents to 102.8 points per game at home, which ranks second-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies like to slow things down at home, averaging just 97.26 possessions per game in Memphis, which is the second-fewest in the league.
  • Easy buckets will be hard to come by for the Warriors. Memphis allows the fewest points in the paint of any team in the league, while the Warriors rank ahead of only the Rockets for second-fewest points in the paint scored per game.

How to bet the spread in Warriors @ Grizzlies:

The Linebacker projects a final score of 111.1 - 100.5 in favor of the Warriors. With a projected 10.6-point margin of victory for the Warriors and an 11-point spread, our model has no suggestion on betting the spread in this matchup.