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NBA Game Preview - Pistons underdogs vs Heat at Detroit

Miami HeatDetroit Pistons
March 23, 7:30 PM | The Palace of Auburn Hills

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Odds

48-22TEAM RECORD25-45

The Pistons hope to be unwelcoming hosts on Wednesday as the Heat pay a visit to The Palace of Auburn Hills in NBA betting action.

The Pistons bring a 25-45 record (38-32 ATS) to the battle against the 48-22 Heat, who are 32-37-1 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Detroit go 38-32 so far and the Heat go 36-33-1.

View Miami vs Detroit Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had the Pistons installed as 8.5-point underdogs in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks at 197.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Pistons at No. 27 and the Heat at No. 3 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 105-94 result in favor of the Heat.

How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Heat rank No. 9 in the league with 42.4 per game. That compares with Detroit’s No. 30 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Detroit is the NBA’s No. 18-ranked team at 6 per game, while the Heat rate No. 11 with 6.6 per contest.

Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 5-rated defense on the road, allowing 95.4 points per game. Detroit, meanwhile, comes in at No. 16 in the league in scoring at home.

The Heat were a 103-98 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Nuggets. They failed to cover the 8–point spread as favorites, while the total score (201) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Nuggets were burned for 33 points by LeBron James on Saturday as the Heat picked up a 103-98 win at AmericanAirlines Arena.

In their last action, Detroit was a 104-96 loser on the road against the Hawks. They failed to cover the 7–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (200) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Pistons endured a 104-96 loss at the hands of the Hawks on Sunday, despite a 22-point effort from Rodney Stuckey at Philips Arena.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After playing Denver are 5-5
After a win are 6-4

Detroit Pistons Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 3-7
Before playing Cleveland are 0-10
After playing Atlanta are 6-4
After a loss are 4-6

A few Heat at Pistons trends to consider:
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 16 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Detroit's last 19 games
Detroit is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Miami

Next up:
Miami home to Philadelphia, Friday, March 25
Detroit at Cleveland, Friday, March 25