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NBA Matchup - Heat Pacers Odds Preview

Indiana PacersMiami Heat
March 10, 6:00 PM | AmericanAirlines Arena

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Odds

39-23TEAM RECORD46-14

The Miami Heat have lost two games in a row both SU and ATS against the Indiana Pacers as those two teams meet for the third time this season in NBA betting action on Sunday night.

Indiana has topped Miami 87-77 as a 1.5-point home underdog and 102-89 as a 2-point home underdog so far this season, improving them to 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS in their past 10 meetings. The OVER has paid out in four of the last five Heat vs. Pacers matchups.

(Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). The Heat are 46-14 so far on the season, and 31-29 ATS vs. the number. The Pacers, meanwhile, are 39-23 and 35-27 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Miami go 31-29 and the Pacers go 27-35 on the totals.

View Indiana vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Heat as 6-point favorites in this matchup earlier today, while the OVER/UNDER line was sitting around 193.5 earlier at GTbets.eu.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new Power Rankings at Odds Shark, it's the No. 9-rated Heat and the No. 3-rated Pacers in this matchup. Predictive computer formulas point to a 103-100 win for the Heat on Sunday.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Miami's No. 5-ranked offense, averaging 103.4 PPG, against a Pacers defense that ranks No. 2 at 89.5 PPG. The Heat field goal percentage has averaged 49.5% so far, more than the Pacers shooters have achieved on the year, 43.5% per game.

Defensively, the Pacers feature the league's No. 1-rated defense on the road, giving up 90.3 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 4 in the league in scoring at home.

Indiana won its last outing, a 115-86 result against the Magic on March 8. The Pacers covered in that game as a 9.5-point favorite, while the 201 combined points took the game OVER the total. Indiana cruised to victory on Friday, running Orlando out of the gym and running up a 115-86 score at Amway Center.

Miami won its last outing, a 102-93 result against the 76ers on March 8. The Heat failed to cover in that game as a 13-point favorite, while the 195 combined points took the game OVER the total. Miami got 25 points and 10 rebounds from LeBron James en route to a 102-93 victory over Philadelphia on Friday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Indiana Pacers Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing Minnesota are 5-5
After playing Orlando are 9-1
After a win are 7-3

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Atlanta are 8-2
After playing Philadelphia are 8-2
After a win are 10-0

A few Pacers at Heat trends to consider:
Indiana is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games at home
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

Next up:
Indiana home to Minnesota, Wednesday, March 13
Miami home to Atlanta, Tuesday, March 12