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NBA odds preview - Suns vs. Nuggets

Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Feb 14, 9:00 PM | Pepsi Center

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Odds

12-16TEAM RECORD16-12

The Nuggets will try to cover the spread at Pepsi Center on Tuesday when they get a visit from the Suns in basketball action.

The Suns will look to vanquish their hosts on Tuesday, as they are 12-16 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Nuggets are 16-12 ATS. Phoenix is 8-18-2 against the total, while Denver is 15-13 versus the number.

View Phoenix vs Denver Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks have set the Nuggets as 7.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was listed at 205, but may be on the move.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Nuggets - Suns odds would favor the Nuggets if the lines were set according to power ranks. Denver is rated No. 14 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Suns sit at No. 26. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 102-96 win for the Nuggets.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Denver's No. 1-ranked offense (103.9 PPG) against a Suns defense that ranks No. 19 at 96.3 PPG. The Nuggets have averaged 47.6% from the field per game, more than the Suns have managed so far this season (44.8% on average).

Defensively, the Suns feature the league's No. 17-rated defense on the road, allowing 96.6 points per game. Denver, meanwhile, comes in at No. 5 in the league in scoring at home.

Phoenix lost its last outing, a 102-96 result against the Warriors on February 13. The Suns failed to cover in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 198 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Phoenix got 25 points and 12 rebounds from Marcin Gortat in a losing cause in a 102-96 loss to Golden State on Monday at Oracle Arena.

Last time out for Denver, they were a 113-109 winner as they battled the Pacers on the road. The Nuggets covered in the match as a 3-point underdog, while 222 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. The Nuggets got a 27-point performance from Ty Lawson as Denver ran past Indiana 113-109 on Saturday at Conseco Fieldhouse.

Phoenix Suns Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 9-1
Before playing Atlanta are 6-4
After playing Golden State are 8-2
After a loss are 5-5

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Dallas are 3-7
After playing Indiana are 7-3
After a win are 6-4

A few Suns at Nuggets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 14 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Phoenix

Next up:
Phoenix home to Atlanta, Wednesday, February 15
Denver at Dallas, Wednesday, February 15