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Nuggets face Timberwolves: NBA odds preview

Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
March 25, 3:30 PM | Target Center

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

26-22TEAM RECORD23-26

The Nuggets will look to pick up a win while covering the spread when they take on the Timberwolves in Minnesota at Target Center on Sunday in NBA action.

The Timberwolves sport records of 23-26 and 27-22 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Nuggets sit at 26-22 and 25-23 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 25-23-1 for the Timberwolves and 25-23 for the Nuggets.

View Denver vs Minnesota Odds and Stats.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Timberwolves, currently No. 9 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Nuggets, who rate No. 15 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 103-101 victory for the Nuggets.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Minnesota's No. 5-ranked offense (99.1 PPG) against a Nuggets defense that ranks No. 29 at 102.2 PPG. The Timberwolves have averaged 43.7% from the field per game, less than the Nuggets have managed so far this season (46.9% on average).

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Nuggets own the league's No. 29-rated mark, allowing 104 points per game when on the road. Minnesota, on the other hand, rates No. 19 in home scoring.

Last time out for Denver, they were a 121-102 loser as they battled the Jazz on the road. The Nuggets failed to cover in the match as a 2-point underdog, while 223 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Al Harrington scored 20 points and added 10 rebounds for a double-double, but his team still lost 121-102 against Utah in NBA action at EnergySolutions Arena.

Minnesota lost its last outing, a 149-140 result against the Thunder on March 23. The Timberwolves covered in that game as a 10.5-point underdog, while the 289 combined points took the game OVER the total. Kevin Love was dynamite, scoring 51 points and adding 14 rebounds but Oklahoma City still won, 149-140, over Minnesota on Friday at Chesapeake Energy Arena.

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Chicago are 7-3
After playing Utah are 3-7
After a loss are 7-3

Minnesota Timberwolves Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Memphis are 6-4
After playing Oklahoma City are 2-8
After a loss are 5-5

A few Nuggets at Timberwolves trends to consider:
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Denver is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Denver's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

Next up:
Denver at Chicago, Monday, March 26
Minnesota at Memphis, Tuesday, March 27