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Nuggets vs Bulls: NBA betting pick

The NBA betting slate features a clash between Denver and Chicago Monday, with the host Bulls looking to cover the spread and enhance their playoff position.

Denver is the high-scoring team in the league and Chicago is the second-best in defense. It's the first meeting of the year but in four meetings a year ago, every game played UNDER the total.

Watch for the opening Bulls Nuggets point spread at TopBet.
The Bulls sit at 40-10 (29-20-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Nuggets are currently 26-23 (25-24 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Chicago is 27-23 OU, and Denver is 26-23 OU.

View Denver vs Chicago Odds and Stats.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Bulls at No. 1 and the Nuggets at No. 15 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 107-99 result in favor of the Bulls.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Chicago's No. 11-ranked offense (97.6 PPG) against a Nuggets defense that ranks No. 29 at 102.5 PPG. The Bulls have averaged 45.7% from the field per game, less than the Nuggets have managed so far this season (46.9% on average).

Defensively, the Nuggets feature the league's No. 30-rated defense on the road, allowing 104.6 points per game. Chicago, meanwhile, comes in at No. 20 in the league in scoring at home.

Denver lost its last outing, a 117-100 result against the Timberwolves on March 25. The Nuggets failed to cover in that game as a 2-point underdog, while the 217 combined points took the game OVER the total. Denver suffered a 117-100 loss against Minnesota on Sunday, getting 17 points from Kenneth Faried in a losing effort at Target Center.

The Bulls were a 102-101 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Raptors. They failed to cover the 12.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (203) made winners of OVER bettors. The Bulls got a 24-point performance from Carlos Boozer, who added 10 rebounds as Chicago ran past Toronto 102-101 on Saturday at United Center.

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Toronto are 5-5
After playing Minnesota are 7-3
After a loss are 6-4

Chicago Bulls Trends:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Atlanta are 7-3
After playing Toronto are 6-4
After a win are 8-2


A few Nuggets at Bulls trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver's last 18 games on the road
Denver is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Denver

Next up:
Denver at Toronto, Wednesday, March 28
Chicago at Atlanta, Wednesday, March 28