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Spurs face Nuggets on NBA lines

The Denver Nuggets host San Antonio on Wednesday, and if there was ever a time to bet against the Spurs, this has to be it.
With forward Tim Duncan on crutches, it's a surprise the point spread isn't stacked against San Antonio, despite their 11-3 ATS run of terror in 14 trips to the Pepsi Centre in recent years. Watch the line move on this game and it's possible the earliest bets will be at the best price for this Spurs vs Nuggets battle.

View San Antonio vs Denver Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with the Nuggets in this one will find them as 3-point favorites, while the total was sitting at 210.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Nuggets - Spurs odds would favor the Spurs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Denver is rated No. 8 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Spurs sit at No. 5. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 109-107 win for the Spurs.

How They Match Up:
In rebounding, the battle of the boards features Denver's No. 13-rated squad against San Antonio's No. 12-rated roster. When it comes to long-range shooting, Denver rates No. 7 in the league with 8.1 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 4 with 8.3 per outing.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Spurs own the league's No. 12-rated mark, allowing 98.7 points per game when on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 1 in home scoring.

Last time out for San Antonio, they were a 111-96 winner as they battled the Warriors at home. The Spurs covered in the match as a 11-point favorite, while 207 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. San Antonio got 28 points from Manu Ginobili en route to a 111-96 victory over Golden State on Monday at AT&T Center.

Denver was a 123-90 winner in its last match at home against the Raptors. They covered the 12.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 213 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. The battle between the Nuggets and Raptors didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Toronto was handed a 123-90 defeat on Monday at Pepsi Center.

San Antonio Spurs Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Portland are 6-4
After playing Golden State are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Washington are 6-4
After playing Toronto are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

A few Spurs at Nuggets trends to consider:
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Denver
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

Next up:
San Antonio at Portland, Friday, March 25
Denver home to Washington, Friday, March 25