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Heat vs Pacers NBA Pick

The Heat will look to cover the spread against the Pacers for the fourth straight time when those teams meet on Saturday night.

Overall Miami is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 games against Indiana, winning eight of those 10 contests straight up. The OVER has paid off in three of the past four matchups between the two teams.

Miami battles the Pacers, currently with a 23-14 mark (17-20 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, important for totals bettors, are 17-20-2 for the Heat and 16-20-1 for the Pacers.

View Indiana vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers opened the Heat as 9.5-point favorites in this matchup at BetOnline, while the OVER/UNDER line was sitting at 195.5 at TopBet.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Heat - Pacers odds would favor the Heat if the lines were set according to power ranks. Miami is rated No. 6 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Pacers sit at No. 7. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 105-99 win for the Heat.

How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Pacers rank No. 4 in the league with 43.9 per game. That compares with Miami’s No. 14 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Miami is the NBA’s No. 19-ranked team at 6 per game, while the Pacers rate No. 20 with 5.6 per contest.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Pacers own the league's No. 5-rated mark, allowing 92.6 points per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 2 in home scoring.

The Pacers were a 101-96 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Hawks. They failed to cover the 8-point spread as favorites, while the total score (197) made winners of OVER bettors. The Pacers endured a 101-96 loss at the hands of the Hawks on Tuesday, despite a 24-point effort from David West at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Last time out for Miami, they were an 89-86 winner as they battled the Hawks at home. The Heat failed to cover in the match as a 12.5-point favorite, while 175 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. LeBron James went off for 31 points and added 11 rebounds leading Miami to an 89-86 win over Atlanta on Wednesday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Indiana Pacers Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Orlando are 5-5
After playing Atlanta are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 7-3
Before playing Orlando are 6-4
After playing Atlanta are 8-2
After a win are 9-1


A few Pacers at Heat trends to consider:
Indiana is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Miami
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana

Next up:
Indiana at Orlando, Sunday, March 11
Miami at Orlando, Tuesday, March 13