The Denver Nuggets sit tied with the Minnesota Timberwolves for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference, and the Nugs go up against a team that’s already booked its ticket to the postseason when they welcome the Portland Trail Blazers to town on Monday. The UNDER is trending when the Nuggets host the Blazers, as each of the last three meetings between the teams in Denver has gone below the total with an average combined score of 191.
Sportsbook opened the Nuggets as 4-point home favorites with a total of 217.5.
- The Trail Blazers are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games against the Nuggets.
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of the Trail Blazers’ last 17 games as underdog.
- The Trail Blazers are 4-0 SU in their last four games on a three-game SU losing streak.
If the regular season ended the way things are now, Denver would miss out on the playoffs since Portland holds the tiebreaker. However, the Nuggets can make it quite a bit easier on themselves by winning their last two games. Denver crushed the Los Angeles Clippers 134-115 on Saturday to knock the Clips out of the postseason picture thanks to a team-high 31 points from small forward Will Barton.
The Trail Blazers are in the driver’s seat for the third spot in the West but have dropped their last three games entering tonight’s action. Portland is finishing a four-game road trip in the Mile High City before going back home to conclude its season against fourth-place Utah. If the Blazers win their last two games, they’ll get home-court advantage in the first round.
Despite their recent skid, Portland has been one of the best teams in the NBA when it comes to covering the spread over the last few months. In the Trail Blazers’ last 20 games, they’re 14-4-2 ATS.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook had the Denver Nuggets installed as 5-point favorites in this particular NBA matchup. The OVER/UNDER betting line for the total number of points scored was listed by most sportsbooks, including Sportsbook, at 218.5.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 115-107 win for the Nuggets. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
Denver battles the Portland Trail Blazers, currently with a 48-32 mark (44-30-6 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, important for totals betting, are 40-38-2 for the Nuggets and 35-45 for the Trail Blazers. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Denver vs Portland injuries news.
The Nuggets sit at No. 10 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Trail Blazers are at No. 4 on that betting chart.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively the game matches up Denver's No. 6-ranked offense (110.32 PPG) against a Portland defense that ranks No. 5 at 103.34 PPG. The Nuggets have averaged 47.15% from the field per game, more than the Trail Blazers have managed so far this NBA season (45.33% on average).
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Trail Blazers got a terrific 33-point performance from Damian Lillard but San Antonio handed them a 116-105 defeat on Saturday at AT&T Center.
The Clippers were burned for 31 points by Will Barton on Saturday as the Nuggets picked up a 134-115 win at Staples Center.
- Portland is 14-4-2 ATS in its last 20 games
- Portland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- Portland is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
- Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
- Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 12 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Portland home to Utah, Wednesday, April 11
Denver at Minnesota, Wednesday, April 11
