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Rockets face Heat on NBA lines

If you took the UNDER in the first Rockets/Heat matchup this season that wager was in the tank early, as the teams combined for 244 points in a 125-119 Miami win..

The Heat were favored by 5 points on the road in that December matchup, and they'll have a chance to pick up their third straight ATS win over Houston as big home favorites on Sunday.

View Houston vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had the Heat installed as 8.5-point favorites in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks at 208.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Heat rated this week at No. 3 and the Rockets sitting at No. 11. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction models that turned out a 109-103 result in favor of the Heat today.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 9-ranked offense (101.7 PPG) against a Rockets defense that ranks No. 22 at 103.9 PPG. The Heat have averaged 47.8% from the field per game, more than the Rockets have managed so far this season (45.4% on average).

Defensively, the Rockets feature the league's No. 23-rated defense on the road, allowing 106.7 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 10 in the league in scoring at home.

Houston won its last outing, a 131-112 result against the Warriors on March 23. The Rockets covered in that game as an 8.5-point favorite, while the 243 combined points took the game OVER the total. Houston got 34 points from Kevin Martin en route to a 131-112 victory over Golden State on Wednesday at Toyota Center.

In their last action, Miami was a 111-99 winner at home against the 76ers. They covered the 8–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (210) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Dwyane Wade went off for 39 points and added 11 rebounds leading Miami to a 111-99 win over Philadelphia on Friday at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Houston Rockets Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 2-8
Before playing New Jersey are 7-3
After playing Golden State are 5-5
After a win are 8-2

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 2-8
Before playing Cleveland are 8-2
After playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

A few Rockets at Heat trends to consider:
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Houston
Miami is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Houston

Next up:
Houston at New Jersey, Tuesday, March 29
Miami at Cleveland, Tuesday, March 29